San Luis de Quillota vs San Marcos de Arica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Primera B San Luis de Quillota - San Marcos de Arica
Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 26

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
52
Red Cards
10
Total shots
109
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
77
Corner Kicks
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Parada S. ,
  • 45+5', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Campos R. , Camarda M. ,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Camarda M. ,
  • 55', Avello G. 🟨,
  • 58', Gauna N. A. 🟨,
  • 62', Velazco F. , Plaza D. ,
  • 63', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 70', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 73', Retamales J. , Cabrera Figueroa L. ,
  • 73', Bustos G. , Coronel F. ,
  • 73', Parada S. , Araya J. ,
  • 80', Juarez F. , Albertengo G. ,
  • 81', Plaza D. 🟨,
  • 83', Gauna N. A. , Muller I. ,
  • 84', Barrios A. , Caceres C. ,

Chances of winning


San Luis de Quillota
48.2%
Draw
28.3%
San Marcos de Arica
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 31.3% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 31.7% 33.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Luis de Quillota has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Luis de Quillota's performance.
  • San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Marcos de Arica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Luis de Quillota that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Marcos de Arica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • San Luis de Quillota - San Marcos de Arica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2.57)
    3.36
    (2.9)
    4.03
    (2.71)
    5.4%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for San Luis de Quillota - San Marcos de Arica?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Luis won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, San Luis won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Luis won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Luis de Quillota - San Marcos de Arica were as follows:
    23.05.2025 San Marcos de Arica - San Luis de Quillota 2:1
    13.10.2024 San Luis de Quillota - San Marcos de Arica 1:1
    27.05.2024 San Marcos de Arica - San Luis de Quillota 1:0
    07.08.2023 San Luis de Quillota - San Marcos de Arica 2:3
    20.03.2023 San Marcos de Arica - San Luis de Quillota 1:0