San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Recoleta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/05/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


San Marcos de Arica
48.4%
Draw
28.6%
Deportes Recoleta
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 27.8% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 26.1% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Marcos de Arica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Deportes Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Recoleta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.92)
    3.18
    (3.25)
    3.93
    (3.6)
    10.2%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 4.
    • San Marcos de Arica has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recoleta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, San Marcos de Arica is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Recoleta were as follows:
    08.09.2025 Deportes Recoleta - San Marcos de Arica 0:0
    03.05.2025 San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Recoleta 2:1
    18.08.2024 San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Recoleta 2:1
    07.04.2024 Deportes Recoleta - San Marcos de Arica 1:2
    28.07.2023 San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Recoleta 3:2