Universidad de Concepción vs San Marcos de Arica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Primera B Universidad de Concepción - San Marcos de Arica
Result
4:1
15/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 21

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Total shots
714
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
312
Corner Kicks
64
Goalkeeper Saves
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Saez B. ,
  • 19', 2 - 0, Rojas L. ,
  • 41', Rojas L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Velazco F. , Gauna N. A. ,
  • 46', Pereira D. , Camarda M. ,
  • 56', Levato M. 🟨,
  • 60', Rojas L. , Romo J. ,
  • 64', Fernandez R. , Plaza D. ,
  • 66', Saez B. , Meza I. ,
  • 66', Herrera I. , Medina C. ,
  • 66', 3 - 0, Ubal B. ,
  • 72', Muller I. , Abalos A. ,
  • 80', Barrios A. 🟨,
  • 82', 3 - 1, Camarda M. ,
  • 84', Fernandez R. 🟨,
  • 85', Fuentealba J. , Molina S. ,
  • 85', Salgado H. , Olivares Alvarez R. I. ,
  • 90+2', Barrios A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 4 - 1, Olivares Alvarez R. I. ,

Chances of winning


Universidad de Concepción
40.8%
Draw
29.6%
San Marcos de Arica
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 29.2% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 28.7% 33.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Universidad de Concepción - San Marcos de Arica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.45)
    3.11
    (3.15)
    3.11
    (2.77)
    8.7%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Universidad de Concepción - San Marcos de Arica?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 1.
    • Recent performances by Uni de Concepción have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • San Marcos de Arica is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Concepción won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 2.2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de Concepción - San Marcos de Arica were as follows:
    13.04.2025 San Marcos de Arica - Universidad de Concepción 1:0
    20.07.2024 San Marcos de Arica - Universidad de Concepción 1:1
    03.03.2024 Universidad de Concepción - San Marcos de Arica 1:3
    04.09.2023 Universidad de Concepción - San Marcos de Arica 2:1
    03.05.2023 San Marcos de Arica - Universidad de Concepción 5:0
    Latest results of San Marcos de Arica