San Marino Calcio vs Notaresco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
14/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 27', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


San Marino Calcio
20.7%
Draw
28.5%
Notaresco
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 26.5% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 25.7% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Marino Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marino Calcio's form might have worsened.
  • Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notaresco's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marino Calcio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notaresco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Marino Calcio - Notaresco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.7
    (2.48)
    3.42
    (3.4)
    1.92
    (2.42)
    2.7%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent performances by San Marino have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Notaresco is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Notaresco has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of San Marino Calcio
    Latest results of Notaresco
    07.12.2025 Notaresco - Termoli 1:1
    30.11.2025 Ostia Mare - Notaresco 0:0
    23.11.2025 Notaresco - L Aquila 1:2
    19.11.2025 Notaresco - UniPomezia 0:1
    16.11.2025 Notaresco - Teramo 0:2
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostiamare31227262:204273
    2Ancona31225455:213471
    3Teramo31209259:253469
    4Atletico Ascoli311411653:312253
    5L Aquila311471051:411049
    6Notaresco Calcio311211839:271247
    7Giulianova311015635:29645
    8Vigor Senigallia311112837:33445
    9Fossombrone3110101124:30-640
    10Unipomezia319111136:37-138
    11Maceratese311141642:44-237
    12Termoli30714924:26-235
    13Sora317111336:47-1132
    14Calcio Chieti315111526:53-2726
    15Recanatese31671833:55-2225
    16San Marino Calcio31671829:57-2825
    17Castelfidardo31652028:57-2923
    18Sammaurese30471928:64-3619

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation