San Marino Calcio vs Notaresco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
14/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 27', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


San Marino Calcio
20.7%
Draw
28.5%
Notaresco
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 26.5% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 25.7% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Marino Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marino Calcio's form might have worsened.
  • Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notaresco's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marino Calcio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notaresco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Marino Calcio - Notaresco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.7
    (2.48)
    3.42
    (3.4)
    1.92
    (2.42)
    2.7%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent performances by San Marino have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Notaresco is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Notaresco has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of San Marino Calcio
    Latest results of Notaresco
    07.12.2025 Notaresco - Termoli 1:1
    30.11.2025 Ostia Mare - Notaresco 0:0
    23.11.2025 Notaresco - L Aquila 1:2
    19.11.2025 Notaresco - UniPomezia 0:1
    16.11.2025 Notaresco - Teramo 0:2
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ancona26194349:163361
    2Ostiamare26186253:173660
    3Teramo26177251:222958
    4L Aquila26145748:331547
    5Atletico Ascoli26129547:272045
    6Vigor Senigallia261010628:25340
    7Giulianova26912533:27639
    8Notaresco Calcio26911629:24538
    9Fossombrone2689920:24-433
    10Unipomezia26881032:34-232
    11Maceratese26931435:38-330
    12Sora26791033:39-630
    13Termoli26512922:26-427
    14Recanatese26561528:48-2021
    15Calcio Chieti26491323:47-2421
    16San Marino Calcio26551622:47-2520
    17Sammaurese26461627:57-3018
    18Castelfidardo26431922:51-2915

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation