San Martín de Burzaco vs Deportivo Merlo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
16/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Clausura - Round 21

Match Stats

Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
410
Corner Kicks
37
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
410
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', Chavez B. 🟨,
  • 27', Cao R. (Pen),
  • 30', 1 - 0, Siliman A. ,
  • 32', Modon S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 53', Curima C. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Zeineddin N. ,
  • 60', Morales M. , Roth J. ,
  • 61', Arellano L. , Meza A. ,
  • 67', Mackay G. , Sergi L. ,
  • 67', Treppo E. , Camejo J. ,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Aguerre F. ,
  • 71', Molina B. , Tobon J. ,
  • 71', Benitez F. , Serpa I. ,
  • 74', Sergi L. 🟨,
  • 84', Gonzalez F. , Benega S. ,
  • 90+2', Ordano A. , Ferreyra F. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Cao R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Martín de Burzaco
31.6%
Draw
30.9%
Deportivo Merlo
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 32% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 29.7% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Merlo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.9
    (3.01)
    2.96
    (2.86)
    2.44
    (2.43)
    9.3%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Merlo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. SM de Burzaco (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 0.
    • In recent matches, SM de Burzaco has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Deportivo Merlo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, SM de Burzaco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Merlo were as follows:
    22.06.2025 Deportivo Merlo - San Martín de Burzaco 1:0
    01.09.2024 Deportivo Merlo - San Martín de Burzaco 1:0
    14.04.2024 San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Merlo 1:2
    Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Italiano32104:227
    2Excursionistas22003:126
    3Villa Dalmine32013:126
    4Argentino de Merlo32012:116
    5Arsenal Sarandi31204:225
    6Laferrere21104:314
    7Deportivo Armenio21101:014
    8Talleres (R.E)21101:014
    9Liniers31112:204
    10Flandria21015:413
    11Villa San Carlos21013:213
    12Real Pilar21013:303
    13Dep. Merlo21012:203
    14Comunicaciones21011:2-13
    15UAI Urquiza20200:002
    16Defensores Unidos30211:2-12
    17San Martin Burzaco20111:2-11
    18Brown Adrogue20111:3-21
    19Argentino de Quilmes30121:3-21
    20Dock Sud30121:3-21
    21Deportivo Camioneros20110:2-21
    22Ituzaingo20021:4-30

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