Result
1:3
16/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Clausura - Round 21
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', Chavez B. 🟨,
- 27', Cao R. (Pen),
- 30', 1 - 0, Siliman A. ⚽,
- 32', Modon S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 53', Curima C. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Zeineddin N. ⚽,
- 60', Morales M. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
- 61', Arellano L. ↓, Meza A. ↑,
- 67', Mackay G. ↓, Sergi L. ↑,
- 67', Treppo E. ↓, Camejo J. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Aguerre F. ⚽,
- 71', Molina B. ↓, Tobon J. ↑,
- 71', Benitez F. ↓, Serpa I. ↑,
- 74', Sergi L. 🟨,
- 84', Gonzalez F. ↓, Benega S. ↑,
- 90+2', Ordano A. ↓, Ferreyra F. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Cao R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
San Martín de Burzaco 31.6% | Draw 30.9% | Deportivo Merlo 37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Merlo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.9 ↓ (3.01) |
2.96 ↑ (2.86) |
2.44 ↑ (2.43) |
9.3% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Merlo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. SM de Burzaco (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 0.
- In recent matches, SM de Burzaco has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Deportivo Merlo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, SM de Burzaco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has San Martín de Burzaco won against Deportivo Merlo?
San Martín de Burzaco has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Merlo won against San Martín de Burzaco?
Deportivo Merlo has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Merlo were as follows:
22.06.2025
Deportivo Merlo
-
San Martín de Burzaco
1:0
01.09.2024
Deportivo Merlo
-
San Martín de Burzaco
1:0
14.04.2024
San Martín de Burzaco
-
Deportivo Merlo
1:2
Latest results of San Martín de Burzaco
Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sportivo Italiano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Excursionistas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Villa Dalmine | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Argentino de Merlo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Arsenal Sarandi | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | Laferrere | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Deportivo Armenio | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Talleres (R.E) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Liniers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Flandria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Villa San Carlos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Real Pilar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Dep. Merlo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Comunicaciones | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | UAI Urquiza | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Defensores Unidos | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | San Martin Burzaco | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 18 | Brown Adrogue | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Argentino de Quilmes | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Dock Sud | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 21 | Deportivo Camioneros | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional
Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )