San Martín de San Juan vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield
Result
1:2
19/09/2025 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.85
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
71% (220/309)68% (188/275)
Yellow Cards
51
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.390.71
Total shots
179
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
2813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
923
Passes
71% (220/309)68% (188/275)
Long passes
46% (29/63)26% (12/46)
Passes in final third
61% (71/117)54% (44/82)
Crosses
32% (13/41)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.55
Throw-ins
3216
Fouls
239
Tackles
60% (12/20)74% (14/19)
Duels won
6168
Clearances
2157
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.711.39
Goals prevented
-1.290.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', Cavanagh T. 🟨,
  • 10', 0 - 1, Lanzini M. , Andrada I. (A),
  • 44', Diarte L. 🟨,
  • 45', Cavanagh T. , Silvero T. ,
  • 45+1', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 0 - 2, Godoy D. ,
  • 53', Gonzalez D. , Toloza F. ,
  • 54', Portillo A. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Maestro I. ,
  • 61', Caseres R. 🟨,
  • 69', Iacobellis M. , Menendez J. ,
  • 69', Portillo A. , Molina A. ,
  • 70', Machuca I. , Pizzini F. ,
  • 70', Godoy D. , Valdes D. ,
  • 70', Lanzini M. , Aliendro R. ,
  • 77', Andrada I. , Roldan L. ,
  • 78', Salle S. 🟨,
  • 81', Gonzalez S. , Cavallaro J. ,
  • 81', Salle S. , Fernandez T. ,
  • 90+7', Quiros A. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Martín de San Juan
35.4%
Draw
34.4%
Vélez Sársfield
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 31% 42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1% 30.4% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Martín de San Juan's performance.
  • Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vélez Sársfield might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de San Juan that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+13%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vélez Sársfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (3.5)
    2.81
    (3)
    3.11
    (2.2)
    3.7%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Vélez will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 15.1%58.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Martín (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Vélez (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 3.
    • San Martín has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vélez is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • San Martín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in San Martín: Fernandez T. (Inactive) Gonzalez F. (Muscle Injury) Pelaitay N. (Inactive) Watson N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Vélez: Andrada I. (Lower Back Injury) Braian Romero (Muscle Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Lagos A. (Red Card)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Martín won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Vélez Sársfield - San Martín de San Juan 1:0
    20.07.2023 San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield 3:2
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe1045115:8717
    2Barracas Central943211:9215
    3Tigre104339:7215
    4Estudiantes L.P950410:10015
    5Boca Juniors935112:6614
    6Central Cordoba1035212:9314
    7Banfield104249:13-414
    8Belgrano93339:7212
    9Defensa y Justicia93339:8112
    10Huracan93335:8-312
    11Argentinos Jrs932410:8211
    12Racing Club931510:12-210
    13Ind. Rivadavia923410:12-29
    14Newells Old Boys92348:11-39
    15Aldosivi90361:12-113


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra961212:5719
    2River Plate953116:7918
    3Velez Sarsfield953111:4718
    4Lanus95139:8116
    5San Lorenzo93426:6013
    6Atl. Tucuman933310:8212
    7Rosario Central82606:4212
    8Sarmiento Junin83328:9-112
    9Platense924310:13-310
    10San Martin S.J102448:11-310
    11Gimnasia L.P93156:9-310
    12Instituto92435:11-610
    13Godoy Cruz91538:11-38
    14Talleres Cordoba91444:9-57
    15Independiente80445:9-44

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)