San Martín de San Juan vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
19/09/2025 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.85
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
71% (220/309)68% (188/275)
Yellow Cards
51
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.390.71
Total shots
179
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
2813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
923
Passes
71% (220/309)68% (188/275)
Long passes
46% (29/63)26% (12/46)
Passes in final third
61% (71/117)54% (44/82)
Crosses
32% (13/41)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.55
Throw-ins
3216
Fouls
239
Tackles
60% (12/20)74% (14/19)
Duels won
6168
Clearances
2157
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.711.39
Goals prevented
-1.290.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', Cavanagh T. 🟨,
  • 10', 0 - 1, Lanzini M. , Andrada I. (A),
  • 44', Diarte L. 🟨,
  • 45', Cavanagh T. , Silvero T. ,
  • 45+1', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 0 - 2, Godoy D. ,
  • 53', Gonzalez D. , Toloza F. ,
  • 54', Portillo A. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Maestro I. ,
  • 61', Caseres R. 🟨,
  • 69', Iacobellis M. , Menendez J. ,
  • 69', Portillo A. , Molina A. ,
  • 70', Machuca I. , Pizzini F. ,
  • 70', Godoy D. , Valdes D. ,
  • 70', Lanzini M. , Aliendro R. ,
  • 77', Andrada I. , Roldan L. ,
  • 78', Salle S. 🟨,
  • 81', Gonzalez S. , Cavallaro J. ,
  • 81', Salle S. , Fernandez T. ,
  • 90+7', Quiros A. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Martín de San Juan
35.4%
Draw
34.4%
Vélez Sársfield
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 31% 42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1% 30.4% 43.1%

San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.79
(3.5)
2.81
(3)
3.11
(2.2)
3.7%
(7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Vélez will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 15.1%58.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. San Martín (votes: 1 - 20%). Vélez (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Vélez (2.22) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - San Martín (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. San Martín (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Vélez (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 3.
    • San Martín has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vélez is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • San Martín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in San Martín: Fernandez T. (Inactive) Gonzalez F. (Muscle Injury) Pelaitay N. (Inactive) Watson N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Vélez: Andrada I. (Lower Back Injury) Braian Romero (Muscle Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Lagos A. (Red Card)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Martín won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Vélez Sársfield - San Martín de San Juan 1:0
    20.07.2023 San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield 3:2
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus32107:527
    2Velez Sarsfield32104:227
    3Platense32104:227
    4Boca Juniors32014:226
    5San Lorenzo32014:316
    6Estudiantes L.P31203:215
    7Defensa y Justicia31201:015
    8Union de Santa Fe31115:234
    9Independiente30303:303
    10Talleres Cordoba31024:5-13
    11Gimnasia Mendoza31021:5-43
    12Instituto30123:5-21
    13Dep. Riestra30121:3-21
    14Central Cordoba30120:2-21
    15Newells Old Boys30122:5-31


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia33006:339
    2Tigre32106:247
    3River Plate32103:037
    4Gimnasia L.P32015:416
    5Belgrano31203:215
    6Argentinos Jrs31201:015
    7Rosario Central31113:304
    8Banfield31113:304
    9Sarmiento Junin31022:3-13
    10Huracan30213:4-12
    11Atl. Tucuman30212:3-12
    12Barracas Central30211:2-12
    13Aldosivi30211:3-22
    14Estudiantes Rio Cuarto30121:4-31
    15Racing Club30033:7-40

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)