Result
1:2
19/09/2025 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (220/309) | 68% (188/275) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (220/309) | 68% (188/275) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (29/63) | 26% (12/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (71/117) | 54% (44/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (13/41) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 57 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.29 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Cavanagh T. 🟨,
- 10', 0 - 1, Lanzini M. ⚽, Andrada I. (A),
- 44', Diarte L. 🟨,
- 45', Cavanagh T. ↓, Silvero T. ↑,
- 45+1', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 0 - 2, Godoy D. ⚽,
- 53', Gonzalez D. ↓, Toloza F. ↑,
- 54', Portillo A. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 2, Maestro I. ⚽,
- 61', Caseres R. 🟨,
- 69', Iacobellis M. ↓, Menendez J. ↑,
- 69', Portillo A. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
- 70', Machuca I. ↓, Pizzini F. ↑,
- 70', Godoy D. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
- 70', Lanzini M. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
- 77', Andrada I. ↓, Roldan L. ↑,
- 78', Salle S. 🟨,
- 81', Gonzalez S. ↓, Cavallaro J. ↑,
- 81', Salle S. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
- 90+7', Quiros A. 🟥,
Chances of winning
San Martín de San Juan
35.4% | Draw
34.4% | Vélez Sársfield
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Martín de San Juan's performance.Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vélez Sársfield might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de San Juan that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+13%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vélez Sársfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↓
(3.5) |
2.81 ↓
(3) |
3.11 ↑
(2.2) |
3.7%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Vélez will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 15.1% – 58.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. San Martín (votes: 1 - 20%). Vélez (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Vélez (2.22) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - San Martín (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. San Martín (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Vélez (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 3.
- San Martín has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vélez is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- San Martín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in San Martín: Fernandez T.
(Inactive)
Gonzalez F.
(Muscle Injury)
Pelaitay N.
(Inactive)
Watson N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Vélez: Andrada I.
(Lower Back Injury)
Braian Romero
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Lagos A.
(Red Card)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Martín won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has San Martín de San Juan won against Vélez Sársfield?
San Martín de San Juan has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against San Martín de San Juan?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
07.03.2025
Vélez Sársfield
-
San Martín de San Juan
1:0
20.07.2023
San Martín de San Juan
-
Vélez Sársfield
3:2
Latest results of San Martín de San Juan
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:6 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lanus | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Independiente | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Platense | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | Instituto | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 9 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 12 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | River Plate | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Tigre | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Huracan | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gimnasia L.P | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Banfield | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
