Result
0:3
31/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 29
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', Purita E. 🟨,
- 12', Serrano V. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, Sabatini I. ⚽,
- 24', Orellana J. 🟨,
- 33', Murillo F. 🟨,
- 36', Colletta T. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 2, Gonzalez T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Murillo F. ↓, Cainelli N. ↑,
- 46', Castro N. ↓, Hachen G. ↑,
- 60', Serrano V. ↓, Cabrera I. ↑,
- 66', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
- 68', 0 - 3, Sabatini I. (Pen),
- 72', Gonzalez T. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 72', Purita E. ↓, Sayago D. ↑,
- 74', Cuevas J. ↓, Spetale A. ↑,
- 75', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 82', Batista A. ↓, Rius C. ↑,
- 82', Lucero M. ↓, Vila J. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Martín de Tucumán 52.4% | Draw 29.1% | Arsenal Sarandí 18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Martín de Tucumán's form might have worsened.Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Martín de Tucumán, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
San Martín de Tucumán - Arsenal Sarandí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.8 ↑ (1.52) |
3.2 ↓ (3.81) |
5.12 ↓ (6.06) |
6.5% (8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Arsenal Sarandí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, San Martin T is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, San Martin T won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has San Martín de Tucumán won against Arsenal Sarandí?
San Martín de Tucumán has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Sarandí won against San Martín de Tucumán?
Arsenal Sarandí has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de Tucumán - Arsenal Sarandí were as follows:
26.04.2025
Arsenal Sarandí
-
San Martín de Tucumán
0:1
24.08.2024
Arsenal Sarandí
-
San Martín de Tucumán
1:1
06.04.2024
San Martín de Tucumán
-
Arsenal Sarandí
2:0
Latest results of San Martín de Tucumán
Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
Draw
Promotion - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Bye | |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | San Miguel | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | Chaco For Ever | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | San Martin T. | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Patronato | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | Temperley | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | Deportivo Maipu | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Tristan Suarez | Agropecuario | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Gimnasia Jujuy | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | Deportivo Moron | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Gimnasia y Tiro | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | CA Estudiantes | Tristan Suarez | 0 : 0 |