Result
2:1
02/05/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 12
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Lopez K. ↓, Castro N. ↑,
- 11', 1 - 0, Pons F. ⚽,
- 18', 1 - 1, Moreno M. ⚽,
- 30', Wuattier E. 🟨,
- 35', Nouet F. ↓, Obando A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Brinone S. 🟨,
- 58', Parnisari E. 🟨,
- 64', Juarez J. 🟨,
- 70', Moreno M. 🟨,
- 73', Flores L. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 74', Albertengo L. ↓, Pepino E. ↑,
- 79', Rodriguez G. ↓, Borasi B. ↑,
- 82', Cainelli N. ↓, Quiroga M. ↑,
- 82', Moreno M. ↓, Protti I. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Ferreyra N. ⚽, Brinone S. (A),
- 89', Ferreyra L. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 90+2', Fernandez M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Martín de Tucumán
47.9% | Draw
32.6% | Atlético de Rafaela
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Martín de Tucumán's form might have worsened.Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Martín de Tucumán, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
San Martín de Tucumán - Atlético de Rafaela Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.7) |
2.84 ↓
(3.21) |
4.73 ↓
(5.85) |
8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for San Martín de Tucumán - Atlético de Rafaela?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. San Martin T will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, San Martin T is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Martin T won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has San Martín de Tucumán won against Atlético de Rafaela?
San Martín de Tucumán has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético de Rafaela won against San Martín de Tucumán?
Atlético de Rafaela has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de Tucumán - Atlético de Rafaela were as follows:
Latest results of San Martín de Tucumán
Latest results of Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Colon Santa Fe | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Los Andes | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Almirante Brown | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Godoy Cruz | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Ciudad Bolivar | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Ferro | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Def. de Belgrano | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | CA Estudiantes | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | San Telmo | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | All Boys | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4:8 | -4 | 10 |
| 17 | Acassuso | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | Chaco For Ever | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 23 |
| 2 | Tristan Suarez | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | San Martin T | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Nueva Chicago | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Atl. Rafaela | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Midland | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Temperley | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | Quilmes | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Patronato | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Deportivo Maipu | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Colegiales | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 | Club A. Guemes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | Almagro | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
