Result
1:2
26/05/2025 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 16
- Referee: Gimenez P. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | TyC Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 34', Torrent F. 🟨,
- 43', Perez F. 🟨,
- 45+1', Murillo F. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Coronel J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Orellana J. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Cuevas J. ⚽,
- 60', Perez M. 🟨,
- 62', Coronel J. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
- 70', Murillo F. ↓, Cainelli N. ↑,
- 74', Cuevas J. ↓, Soraire J. ↑,
- 75', Vera U. ↓, Cisnero A. ↑,
- 76', Torrent F. ↓, Mino M. ↑,
- 76', Roseti M. ↓, Enrique M. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Soraire J. ⚽,
- 87', Esquivel J. ↓, Quiroz F. ↑,
- 90+3', Allende L. ↓, Schultz E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Quilmes 42% | Draw 33.3% | San Martín de Tucumán 24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Quilmes have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+1%)
Quilmes - San Martín de Tucumán Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.22 ↑ (2.2) |
2.8 ↓ (2.9) |
3.76 ↑ (3.53) |
7.3% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Quilmes - San Martín de Tucumán?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). San Martin T will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 62.2% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
- Quilmes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- San Martin T has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Quilmes will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Quilmes won against San Martín de Tucumán?
Quilmes has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Martín de Tucumán won against Quilmes?
San Martín de Tucumán has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - San Martín de Tucumán were as follows:
22.07.2024
Quilmes
-
San Martín de Tucumán
1:2
04.03.2024
San Martín de Tucumán
-
Quilmes
0:0
Latest results of Quilmes
Latest results of San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | San Martin T | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
2 | Atletico Atlanta | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 39 |
3 | Deportivo Madryn | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 27:19 | 8 | 37 |
4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 22:14 | 8 | 36 |
5 | San Miguel | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 22:15 | 7 | 36 |
6 | Tristan Suarez | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 36 |
7 | Patronato | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 4 | 35 |
8 | Deportivo Maipu | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Racing Cordoba | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Colegiales | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 14:19 | -5 | 30 |
11 | Los Andes | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 28 |
12 | Quilmes | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 27 |
13 | Almagro | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 27 |
14 | All Boys | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Ferro | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 26 |
16 | Club A. Guemes | 23 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 25 |
17 | Alvarado | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 21 |
18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 18 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Chacarita Juniors | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 32:17 | 15 | 43 |
2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 24:11 | 13 | 43 |
3 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 22 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 40 |
4 | Deportivo Moron | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 39 |
5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 38 |
6 | Temperley | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 38 |
7 | Chaco For Ever | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:18 | 7 | 37 |
8 | CA Estudiantes | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 36 |
9 | CA Mitre | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 17:16 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Agropecuario | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 31 |
11 | Def. de Belgrano | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 18:17 | 1 | 30 |
12 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Colon Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
14 | San Telmo | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 27 |
15 | Central Norte | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 25 |
16 | Almirante Brown | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 16:26 | -10 | 21 |
17 | Talleres (R.E) | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 9:28 | -19 | 11 |
18 | Defensores Unidos | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 9:38 | -29 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation