Result
0:2
08/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Madrigal S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
San Martín
13.5% | Draw
25.3% | Covadonga
61.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
San Martín - Covadonga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.76 ↑
(6.6) |
3.61 ↑
(3.55) |
1.5 ↓
(1.51) |
9.3%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 1.
- In recent matches, San Martín has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Covadonga is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Covadonga is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Martín won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has San Martín won against Covadonga?
San Martín has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Covadonga won against San Martín?
Covadonga has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín - Covadonga were as follows:
28.09.2025
Covadonga
-
San Martín
3:1
04.05.2025
Covadonga
-
San Martín
1:1
22.12.2024
San Martín
-
Covadonga
1:0
Latest results of San Martín
Latest results of Covadonga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 61:17 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 75:21 | 54 | 71 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 71:24 | 47 | 58 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 50:35 | 15 | 57 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 43:25 | 18 | 51 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | EI San Martin | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | CD Colunga | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 38 |
| 9 | Union Club Ceares | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 36 |
| 10 | Praviano | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 11 | Llanes | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 42:45 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Club Siero | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 36:47 | -11 | 32 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Lenense | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 28 |
| 15 | SD Navarro CF | 30 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 34:46 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | Gijon Industrial | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 27:50 | -23 | 25 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 26:52 | -26 | 24 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 30 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 18:65 | -47 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
