Notaresco vs Ancona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
21/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Round 17

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Arrigoni A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Cericola M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Notaresco
22%
Draw
26.8%
Ancona
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 27.2% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 27.9% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notaresco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Notaresco's form might have worsened.
  • Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ancona's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (+15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notaresco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (-15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ancona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Notaresco - Ancona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.11
    (2.47)
    3.38
    (3.32)
    1.77
    (2.49)
    10.4%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Notaresco - Ancona?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ancona will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Notaresco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Notaresco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notaresco - Ancona were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Ancona - Notaresco 3:1
    01.12.2024 Notaresco - Ancona 0:1
    Latest results of Notaresco
    07.12.2025 Notaresco - Termoli 1:1
    30.11.2025 Ostia Mare - Notaresco 0:0
    23.11.2025 Notaresco - L Aquila 1:2
    19.11.2025 Notaresco - UniPomezia 0:1
    Latest results of Ancona
    14.12.2025 Ancona - L Aquila 2:0
    07.12.2025 Sammaurese - Ancona 0:3
    03.12.2025 UniPomezia - Ancona 1:2
    30.11.2025 Ancona - Fossombrone 1:2
    23.11.2025 Teramo - Ancona 3:0
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ancona28205352:183465
    2Ostiamare27196254:173763
    3Teramo27187254:233161
    4Atletico Ascoli281310550:282249
    5L Aquila28146851:381348
    6Notaresco Calcio281111636:241244
    7Vigor Senigallia281111634:28644
    8Giulianova28913634:29540
    9Fossombrone28910922:25-337
    10Unipomezia28891133:36-333
    11Termoli28613923:26-331
    12Sora287101134:43-931
    13Maceratese28931635:41-630
    14Recanatese28571629:50-2122
    15Calcio Chieti284101424:49-2522
    16Castelfidardo28631925:52-2721
    17San Marino Calcio28561724:52-2821
    18Sammaurese28461828:63-3518

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation