Result
1:1
21/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 17
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Arrigoni A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 30', 1 - 1, Cericola M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Notaresco 22% | Draw 26.8% | Ancona 51.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notaresco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Notaresco's form might have worsened.Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ancona's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (+15.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notaresco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (-15.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ancona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Notaresco - Ancona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.11 ↑ (2.47) |
3.38 ↑ (3.32) |
1.77 ↓ (2.49) |
10.4% (10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Notaresco - Ancona?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ancona will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Notaresco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Notaresco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Notaresco won against Ancona?
Notaresco has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ancona won against Notaresco?
Ancona has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notaresco - Ancona were as follows:
13.04.2025
Ancona
-
Notaresco
3:1
01.12.2024
Notaresco
-
Ancona
0:1
Latest results of Notaresco
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ancona | 28 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 52:18 | 34 | 65 |
| 2 | Ostiamare | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 54:17 | 37 | 63 |
| 3 | Teramo | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 54:23 | 31 | 61 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 50:28 | 22 | 49 |
| 5 | L Aquila | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:38 | 13 | 48 |
| 6 | Notaresco Calcio | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 7 | Vigor Senigallia | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 34:28 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Giulianova | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 34:29 | 5 | 40 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 22:25 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Termoli | 28 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 23:26 | -3 | 31 |
| 12 | Sora | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 34:43 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Maceratese | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 35:41 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 29:50 | -21 | 22 |
| 15 | Calcio Chieti | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 24:49 | -25 | 22 |
| 16 | Castelfidardo | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 25:52 | -27 | 21 |
| 17 | San Marino Calcio | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 21 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 28:63 | -35 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation