Notaresco vs Civitanovese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group F Notaresco - Civitanovese
Result
2:1
11/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Play Out - Final

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Vesprini N. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 69', 1 - 1, Sall I. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Ferri R. ,

Chances of winning


Notaresco
47%
Draw
28.1%
Civitanovese
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 29.3% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 28.4% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notaresco's performance.
  • Civitanovese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Civitanovese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notaresco that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Civitanovese than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Civitanovese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Notaresco - Civitanovese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.29)
    3.22
    (3.1)
    3.64
    (2.94)
    10.4%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Civitanovese has had a series of away games.
    • San Nicolò could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Nicolò won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, San Nicolò won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notaresco - Civitanovese were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Notaresco - Civitanovese 1:2
    Latest results of Notaresco
    04.05.2025 Notaresco - Chieti 2:1
    27.04.2025 Teramo - Notaresco 1:2
    13.04.2025 Ancona - Notaresco 3:1
    06.04.2025 Notaresco - Isernia 1:2
    Latest results of Civitanovese
    27.04.2025 Civitanovese - Recanatese 1:1
    17.04.2025 Fermana - Civitanovese 0:2
    13.04.2025 Sora - Civitanovese 3:1
    30.03.2025 Chieti - Civitanovese 1:0
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Notaresco Calcio11004:133
    2Sammaurese11003:123
    3Giulianova11002:113
    4Ostiamare11001:013
    5Vigor Senigallia11001:013
    6L Aquila10102:201
    7Atletico Ascoli10102:201
    8Teramo10101:101
    9Calcio Chieti10101:101
    10Unipomezia10101:101
    11Fossombrone10101:101
    12San Marino Calcio00000:000
    13Termoli00000:000
    14Sora10011:2-10
    15Ancona10010:1-10
    16Maceratese10010:1-10
    17Castelfidardo10011:3-20
    18Recanatese10011:4-30

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation