Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Denka Big Swan Stadium (Niigata).

J1 League - Round 24
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.42	2.17
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
12	19
Shots on target
1	8
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
82% (416/509)	80% (333/414)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42	2.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.07	1.33
Total shots
12	19
Shots on target
1	8
Shots off target
9	8
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
10	13
Shots outside the Box
2	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
25	34
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
13	10
Passes
82% (416/509)	80% (333/414)
Long passes
39% (19/49)	47% (30/64)
Passes in final third
65% (70/107)	71% (133/188)
Crosses
64% (9/14)	38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.44	1.84
Throw-ins
15	21
Fouls
10	13
Tackles
45% (5/11)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
46	53
Clearances
30	21
Interceptions
7	15
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	1
xGOT faced
1.33	0.07
Goals prevented
-0.67	0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Higashi S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 2, Kinoshita K. ⚽,
59', Arai T. ↓, Hoshi Y. ↑,
59', Kasai K. ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
69', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
71', Tanaka S. ↓, Nakajima Y. ↑,
71', Kinoshita K. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
72', Ono Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
72', Horigome Y. ↓, Funaki K. ↑,
78', Araki H. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
82', Chiba K. 🟨,
84', Okumura J. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
90+2', Germain R. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
90+2', Higashi S. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
90+7', Hashimoto K. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Albirex Niigata
19.5%

Draw
24.7%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

25.6%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

25.4%

53.9%

Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↑ (4.55)	3.81 ↑ (3.7)	1.72 ↓ (1.77)	5.4% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3.
Niigata is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Hiroshima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Hiroshima is the team to beat.
There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.4:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Albirex Niigata has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Albirex Niigata?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:

29.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Albirex Niigata 0:1

26.06.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Albirex Niigata 1:1

03.05.2024 Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1

01.07.2023 Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:0

26.02.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Albirex Niigata 1:2

Latest results of Albirex Niigata

05.07.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata 2:1 ✺

29.06.2025 Albirex Niigata - Machida Zelvia 0:4 ✺

25.06.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 3:1 ✺

21.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata 3:2 ✺

15.06.2025 Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

16.07.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fujieda MYFC 5:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1 ✺

02.07.2025 Vissel Kobe - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0 ✺

22.06.2025 Yokohama FC - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:4 ✺

14.06.2025 Kashima Antlers - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	38	23	7	8	58:31	27	76
2	Kashiwa Reysol	38	21	12	5	60:34	26	75
3	Kyoto	38	19	11	8	62:40	22	68
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	38	20	8	10	46:28	18	68
5	Vissel Kobe	38	18	10	10	46:33	13	64
6	Machida	38	17	9	12	52:38	14	60
7	Urawa Reds	38	16	11	11	45:39	6	59
8	Kawasaki Frontale	38	15	12	11	67:57	10	57
9	Gamba Osaka	38	17	6	15	53:55	-2	57
10	Cerezo Osaka	38	14	10	14	60:57	3	52
11	FC Tokyo	38	13	11	14	41:48	-7	50
12	Avispa Fukuoka	38	12	12	14	34:38	-4	48
13	Okayama	38	12	9	17	34:43	-9	45
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	38	11	11	16	41:51	-10	44
15	Yokohama F. Marinos	38	12	7	19	46:47	-1	43
16	Nagoya Grampus	38	11	10	17	44:56	-12	43
17	Verdy	38	11	10	17	23:41	-18	43
18	Yokohama FC	38	9	8	21	27:45	-18	35
19	Shonan Bellmare	38	8	8	22	36:63	-27	32
20	Albirex Niigata	38	4	12	22	36:67	-31	24

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League