Result
0:2
20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 2.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (416/509) | 80% (333/414) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 2.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (416/509) | 80% (333/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (19/49) | 47% (30/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (70/107) | 71% (133/188) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Higashi S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 0 - 2, Kinoshita K. ⚽,
- 59', Arai T. ↓, Hoshi Y. ↑,
- 59', Kasai K. ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
- 69', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
- 71', Tanaka S. ↓, Nakajima Y. ↑,
- 71', Kinoshita K. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
- 72', Ono Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
- 72', Horigome Y. ↓, Funaki K. ↑,
- 78', Araki H. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
- 82', Chiba K. 🟨,
- 84', Okumura J. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
- 90+2', Germain R. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
- 90+2', Higashi S. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
- 90+7', Hashimoto K. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Albirex Niigata
19.5% | Draw
24.7% | Sanfrecce Hiroshima
55.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.79 ↑
(4.55) |
3.81 ↑
(3.7) |
1.72 ↓
(1.77) |
5.4%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Hiroshima (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Hiroshima (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 10 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3.
- Niigata is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Hiroshima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hiroshima is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Albirex Niigata has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Albirex Niigata?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
29.04.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Albirex Niigata
0:1
26.06.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Albirex Niigata
1:1
03.05.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:1
01.07.2023
Albirex Niigata
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2:0
26.02.2023
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Albirex Niigata
1:2
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Machida | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 4 | Urawa Reds | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Verdy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Mito | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiba | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Okayama | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 3 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
