Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/05/2026 at 23:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Fagiano Okayama
20.6%
Draw
27.4%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.5% 26.7% 50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7% 25.7% 52.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.48
    (4.1)
    3.42
    (3.45)
    1.81
    (1.81)
    7%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Hiroshima has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Okayama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
    14.02.2026 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fagiano Okayama 2:1
    05.07.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1
    12.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fagiano Okayama 0:1
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers131002121:932
    2FC Tokyo13732127:1329
    3Machida12541220:1824
    4Verdy12530419:1621
    5Kawasaki Frontale13521520:2320
    6Mito13234419:2716
    7Urawa Reds13403618:1915
    8Yokohama F. Marinos13500820:2415
    9Kashiwa Reysol13310916:2011
    10Chiba13203813:249


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe12713123:1326
    2Nagoya Grampus13523323:1922
    3Gamba Osaka14353323:2122
    4Sanfrecce Hiroshima13521521:1820
    5Kyoto12431419:1619
    6Cerezo Osaka13431515:1319
    7Shimizu S-Pulse13324416:1817
    8Okayama13324417:2417
    9Avispa Fukuoka14332617:2517
    10V-Varen Nagasaki13501713:2016

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)