Result
1:0
10/12/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3 |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Sport 24, Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (429/529) | 74% (242/327) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (429/529) | 74% (242/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (26/53) | 51% (34/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (188/248) | 64% (49/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (11/44) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Chan Shinichi 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Amadou I. 🟨,
- 55', Arslan T. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 58', Germain R. 🟨,
- 62', Gao Tianyi ↓, Yang Haoyu ↑,
- 64', Suga D. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
- 68', Wu Xi 🟨,
- 71', Amadou I. ↓, Wang Haijian ↑,
- 76', Germain R. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
- 76', Saulo Mineiro ↓, Asue L. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 0, Araki H. ⚽, Arai N. (A),
Chances of winning
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
73% | Draw
16.6% | Shanghai Shenhua
10.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Shenhua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.34) |
5.64 ↑
(5.13) |
8.96 ↑
(7.83) |
6.9%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Shenhua?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 68.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- 1X2, 1st Half - Hiroshima (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Hiroshima (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
- Hiroshima is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Shanghai Shenhua's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hiroshima is the undeniable favorite.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Shanghai Shenhua?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shanghai Shenhua won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Shanghai Shenhua has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Shenhua were as follows:
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Latest results of Shanghai Shenhua
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
