Result
2:2
25/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 51', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 64', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 69', 🟥,
- 75', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 79', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 85', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Badajoz
69.6% | Draw
20.5% | Santa Amalia
9.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Badajoz's performance.Santa Amalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Amalia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badajoz that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Badajoz - Santa Amalia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.52) |
4.45 ↑
(3.58) |
9.29 ↑
(5.96) |
9.4%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 7)
- Badajoz is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Santa Amalia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Badajoz is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Badajoz will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Badajoz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Badajoz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Badajoz won against Santa Amalia?
Badajoz has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Amalia won against Badajoz?
Santa Amalia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Badajoz - Santa Amalia were as follows:
14.09.2025
Santa Amalia
-
Badajoz
1:0
20.04.2025
Badajoz
-
Santa Amalia
2:0
08.12.2024
Santa Amalia
-
Badajoz
0:0
Latest results of Badajoz
Latest results of Santa Amalia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 55:19 | 36 | 55 |
| 2 | Moralo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | CD Badajoz | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:24 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Azuaga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 46:25 | 21 | 48 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 34:21 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Villanovense | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | Villafranca | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Jerez CF | 27 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 47:38 | 9 | 36 |
| 10 | Llerenense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 | Montijo | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:33 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 | Puebla | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Gevora | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | Diocesano | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 20:33 | -13 | 20 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19:46 | -27 | 19 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
