Badajoz vs Santa Amalia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
25/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 19

Match Stats

Red cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 51', 0 - 1, ,
  • 64', 0 - 2, ,
  • 69', 🟥,
  • 75', 1 - 2, ,
  • 79', 2 - 2, ,
  • 85', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Badajoz
69.6%
Draw
20.5%
Santa Amalia
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 25.2% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 24.1% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Badajoz's performance.
  • Santa Amalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Amalia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badajoz that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Badajoz - Santa Amalia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.52)
    4.45
    (3.58)
    9.29
    (5.96)
    9.4%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 7)
    • Badajoz is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Santa Amalia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Badajoz is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Badajoz will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Badajoz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Badajoz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Badajoz - Santa Amalia were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Santa Amalia - Badajoz 1:0
    20.04.2025 Badajoz - Santa Amalia 2:0
    08.12.2024 Santa Amalia - Badajoz 0:0
    Latest results of Badajoz
    18.01.2026 Azuaga - Badajoz 1:2
    11.01.2026 Gévora - Badajoz 0:3
    04.01.2026 Badajoz - Calamonte 2:0
    14.12.2025 Badajoz - Jaraíz 2:1
    Latest results of Santa Amalia
    18.01.2026 Santa Amalia - Pueblonuevo 2:2
    11.01.2026 Santa Amalia - Montijo 1:0
    04.01.2026 Moralo - Santa Amalia 2:0
    20.12.2025 Santa Amalia - Diocesano 1:0
    13.12.2025 Villafranca - Santa Amalia 1:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito24156350:153551
    2Moralo24128438:241444
    3Jaraiz24119439:231642
    4Cabeza del Buey241011330:171341
    5CD Badajoz24135632:201241
    6Azuaga24117634:241040
    7Villanovense2498726:24235
    8Llerenense241041025:25034
    9Jerez CF24615338:29933
    10Villafranca2496928:29-133
    11Montijo24941126:27-131
    12Puebla24611724:28-429
    13Santa Amalia24851123:32-929
    14Gevora24581122:36-1423
    15Diocesano23481122:37-1520
    16CD Calamonte243101118:29-1119
    17Montehermoso24361517:44-2715
    18Pueblonuevo23351517:46-2914

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation