Result
1:2
19/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 31
Chances of winning
Santa Amalia 32.6% | Draw 31.5% | Villafranca 35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Amalia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)The chances for Villafranca have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Santa Amalia - Villafranca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.78 (2.78) |
2.87 (2.87) |
2.52 ↑ (2.52) |
10.6% (10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 7).
- Santa Amalia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Villafranca is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santa Amalia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Santa Amalia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Amalia won against Villafranca?
Santa Amalia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Villafranca won against Santa Amalia?
Villafranca has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Amalia - Villafranca were as follows:
13.12.2025
Villafranca
-
Santa Amalia
1:2
30.03.2025
Santa Amalia
-
Villafranca
1:1
17.11.2024
Villafranca
-
Santa Amalia
2:0
Latest results of Santa Amalia
Latest results of Villafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 69:21 | 48 | 70 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 61:27 | 34 | 68 |
| 3 | Azuaga | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 53:30 | 23 | 62 |
| 4 | Moralo | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 61 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 56 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 7 | Villafranca | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:41 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 33 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 51:50 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Puebla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 38 |
| 12 | Llerenense | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 32:43 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 32:50 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 28:55 | -27 | 30 |
| 16 | Diocesano | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 29:59 | -30 | 29 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23:61 | -38 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 33 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 24:44 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation