Result
1:4
01/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 58', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 63', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 68', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 90+5', 1 - 4, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Santa Amalia
14.9% | Draw
23.7% | Jaraíz
61.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Amalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Amalia's form might have worsened.Jaraíz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jaraíz's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+17.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Amalia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (-23.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jaraíz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santa Amalia - Jaraíz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.83 ↑
(2.75) |
4.92 ↑
(3.1) |
1.9 ↓
(2.42) |
-14.3%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
- Santa Amalia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jaraíz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Santa Amalia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santa Amalia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Santa Amalia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Amalia won against Jaraíz?
Santa Amalia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jaraíz won against Santa Amalia?
Jaraíz has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Amalia - Jaraíz were as follows:
19.10.2025
Jaraíz
-
Santa Amalia
1:0
15.09.2024
Santa Amalia
-
Jaraíz
1:0
Latest results of Santa Amalia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 55:19 | 36 | 55 |
| 2 | Moralo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | CD Badajoz | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:24 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Azuaga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 46:25 | 21 | 48 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 34:21 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Villanovense | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | Villafranca | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Jerez CF | 27 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 47:38 | 9 | 36 |
| 10 | Llerenense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 | Montijo | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:33 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 | Puebla | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Gevora | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | Diocesano | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 20:33 | -13 | 20 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19:46 | -27 | 19 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
