Result
1:2
01/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 1, Benjumea E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Santa Amalia
18.9% | Draw
32.2% | Llerenense
48.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Amalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Amalia's form might have worsened.Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llerenense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+23.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Amalia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-21.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Llerenense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santa Amalia - Llerenense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.22 ↑
(2.2) |
3.66 ↑
(3.02) |
2.41 ↓
(3.17) |
-15.1%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 12).
- Santa Amalia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Llerenense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Santa Amalia could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santa Amalia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Santa Amalia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Amalia won against Llerenense?
Santa Amalia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Llerenense won against Santa Amalia?
Llerenense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Amalia - Llerenense were as follows:
11.05.2025
Llerenense
-
Santa Amalia
1:2
12.01.2025
Santa Amalia
-
Llerenense
0:1
Latest results of Santa Amalia
Latest results of Llerenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 55:19 | 36 | 55 |
| 2 | Moralo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | CD Badajoz | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:24 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Azuaga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 46:25 | 21 | 48 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 34:21 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Villanovense | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | Villafranca | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Jerez CF | 27 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 47:38 | 9 | 36 |
| 10 | Llerenense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 | Montijo | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:33 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 | Puebla | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Gevora | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | Diocesano | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 20:33 | -13 | 20 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19:46 | -27 | 19 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
