Carmelita vs Santa Ana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
25/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 9

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 71', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Carmelita
38.9%
Draw
27%
Santa Ana
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 27.1% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 25.7% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carmelita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Santa Ana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carmelita, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Ana than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Ana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carmelita - Santa Ana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.04)
    3.37
    (3.25)
    2.66
    (2.95)
    10%
    (13.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 7 and 8).
    • Carmelita has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Santa Ana is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Carmelita may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Carmelita might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carmelita won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carmelita won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carmelita - Santa Ana were as follows:
    16.11.2025 Carmelita - Santa Ana 2:0
    28.09.2025 Santa Ana - Carmelita 1:1
    Latest results of Carmelita
    Latest results of Santa Ana
    Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter San Carlos1164118:11722
    2Quepos Cambute1171321:17422
    3ADR Jicaral1063117:51221
    4AD Sarchi1144316:17-116
    5Grecia1033410:11-112
    6Santa Cruz1225515:16-111
    7Cofutpa1123612:20-89
    8Dep. Upala1205714:26-125
    9Municipal Turrialba00000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Escorpiones1172222:101223
    2CS Uruguay1162323:15820
    3Pitbulls1153313:10318
    4Cariari Pococi1034315:17-213
    5Consultants Desamparados1033414:15-112
    6Ad Aserri1026211:15-412
    7Carmelita112369:15-69
    8Santa Ana1223716:26-109
    9Limon Black Star00000:000

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