Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 6
- Referee: Guelho S. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (342/407) | 77% (265/343) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (342/407) | 77% (265/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (18/45) | 30% (17/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (77/110) | 48% (36/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', Gomes A. 🟨,
- 9', 1 - 0, Serginho (Pen),
- 19', 1 - 1, Lincoln ⚽, Figueiredo (A),
- 27', Marezi 🟨,
- 28', Amorim 🟨,
- 32', Lucas Soares 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Chissumba 🟨,
- 52', Serginho 🟨,
- 56', Chissumba ↓, James I. ↑,
- 58', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
- 58', Gabriel Silva ↓, Carter A. ↑,
- 60', Adriano Firmino 🟨,
- 68', Luquinhas 🟨,
- 68', Marezi ↓, Sandro Lima ↑,
- 69', Amorim ↓, Gui D. ↑,
- 69', Figueiredo ↓, Nuozzi C. ↑,
- 71', Serginho ↓, Ferreira P. ↑,
- 72', Lucas Soares ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
- 75', Brenner ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
- 81', Lincoln ↓, Leite T. ↑,
- 82', Diogo Calila 🟨,
- 87', Carter A. 🟨,
- 90+7', 2 - 1, MT ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),
Chances of winning
Santa Clara
52.8% | Draw
30.3% | Alverca
16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Santa Clara - Alverca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82
(1.82) |
3.14 ↓
(3.3) |
5.57 ↑
(5.15) |
4.8%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Santa Clara - Alverca?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Santa Clara will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 14).
- Santa Clara has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alverca is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Alverca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Santa Clara is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P.
(Knee Injury)
Paulo Victor
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Alverca: Chiquinho
(Injury)
Martinez J.
(Inactive)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Alverca?
Santa Clara has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Santa Clara?
Alverca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Clara - Alverca were as follows:
Latest results of Santa Clara
Latest results of Alverca
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
