Result
1:1
03/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 32
- Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Serbia | Sportklub |
 Slovenia | Sportklub |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (521/589) | 76% (219/290) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (521/589) | 76% (219/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (28/52) | 34% (18/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (108/148) | 52% (35/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (9/47) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | 0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Ricardinho ⚽, Diogo Calila (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 1, Horta R. ⚽, Gomez V. (A),
- 53', Araujo M. ↓, Venancio F. ↑,
- 64', Gabriel Batista 🟨,
- 68', Gabriel Silva 🟨,
- 71', Navarro F. ↓, Patrao A. ↑,
- 71', Gharbi I. ↓, Fernandes R. ↑,
- 71', Costa J. ↓, Vinicius Lopes ↑,
- 71', Serginho ↓, Ferreira P. ↑,
- 77', Sidney Lima 🟨,
- 82', Zalazar R. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 82', Racic U. ↓, Gorby ↑,
- 82', Ricardinho ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
- 82', Gabriel Silva ↓, Wendell ↑,
- 83', Rocha L. 🟨,
- 89', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
- 90+3', Adriano Firmino 🟨,
Chances of winning
Braga
53.4% | Draw
27.1% | Santa Clara
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Braga - Santa Clara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.72) |
3.49 ↓
(3.53) |
4.88 ↓
(5.18) |
5.5%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Braga - Santa Clara?
Users Predictions:
Braga will win
(19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Braga will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 4.
- Braga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Santa Clara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Santa Clara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Braga is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Braga: Noro J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Oliveira P.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Santa Clara: Lucas Soares
(Yellow Cards)
Pacheco P.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Braga will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Braga won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:14. (average 2.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Santa Clara?
Braga has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Braga?
Santa Clara has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Santa Clara were as follows:
22.12.2024
Santa Clara
-
Braga
0:2
14.05.2023
Braga
-
Santa Clara
5:3
05.01.2023
Santa Clara
-
Braga
0:4
Latest results of Santa Clara
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | FC Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Arouca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
