Result
2:2
19/04/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 30
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Angola | Z Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 7 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (673/745) | 80% (270/336) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (673/745) | 80% (270/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (18/38) | 36% (13/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (179/226) | 61% (42/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.63 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Navarro F. ⚽, Vitor Carvalho (A),
- 40', 1 - 1, Gil Dias ⚽, Santos P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', Moutinho J. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 2, Rafa Soares ⚽, Gil Dias (A),
- 68', Gil Dias 🟨,
- 73', Moutinho J. ↓, Tiknaz D. E. ↑,
- 73', Vitor Carvalho ↓, Dorgeles M. ↑,
- 76', Santos P. ↓, Realpe L. ↑,
- 78', Ba I. 🟨,
- 78', Navarro F. ↓, Gorby ↑,
- 83', Sorriso ↓, Garcia ↑,
- 86', Grillitsch F. ↓, El Ouazzani A. ↑,
- 89', Elisor S. 🟨,
- 89', Lagerbielke G. 🟨,
- 89', Elisor S. ↓, Abubakar U. ↑,
- 90+1', Pinheiro R. 🟨,
- 90+6', De Haas J. 🟨,
- 90+9', 2 - 2, Horta R. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Braga
46.1% | Draw
27.9% | Famalicão
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braga's form might have worsened.Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Braga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Famalicão, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Braga - Famalicão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(1.79) |
3.37 ↓
(3.66) |
3.62 ↓
(4.41) |
5.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Braga - Famalicão?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Famalicão will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 57.6% – 90.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Famalicão (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Braga will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Braga (votes: 2 - 50%). Famalicão (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 2.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Braga is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Braga: Barisic A.
(Muscle Injury)
Martinez G.
(Red Card)
Niakate S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Rodrigues D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Braga: Arrey-Mbi B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Famalicão: Rochinha
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Braga won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:10. (average 2.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Famalicão?
Braga has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Braga?
Famalicão has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Famalicão were as follows:
06.12.2025
Famalicão
-
Braga
1:2
25.04.2025
Famalicão
-
Braga
1:1
16.12.2024
Braga
-
Famalicão
3:3
18.01.2024
Famalicão
-
Braga
1:2
11.08.2023
Braga
-
Famalicão
1:2
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
