Maracanã vs Santa Cruz de Natal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Maracanã - Santa Cruz de Natal
Result
2:1
16/06/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 9

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 33', 0 - 1, ,
  • 39', 🟥,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 81', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Maracanã
45.6%
Draw
28.2%
Santa Cruz de Natal
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 30.2% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 29.2% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maracanã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maracanã's performance.
  • Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maracanã than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maracanã that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz de Natal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Maracanã - Santa Cruz de Natal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.34)
    3.2
    (3.02)
    3.45
    (2.97)
    10.8%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Maracanã has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Santa Cruz de Natal is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Maracanã could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Maracanã won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maracanã - Santa Cruz de Natal were as follows:
    01.06.2024 Santa Cruz de Natal - Maracanã 1:0
    Latest results of Maracanã
    12.06.2024 Sousa - Maracanã 3:2
    09.06.2024 Maracanã - Sousa 0:1
    26.05.2024 Maracanã - Iguatu 2:2
    Latest results of Santa Cruz de Natal
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3GoiatubaInter de Limeira
    4CianorteTBD #8