Santa Lucia vs Balzan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
20/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Round 10

Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
312
Total shots
714
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
48
Corner Kicks
312

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 65', 0 - 1, Pulis N. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Vella M. ,

Chances of winning


Santa Lucia
12%
Draw
19.1%
Balzan
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 18.3% 63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9% 18.1% 64.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Lucia's form might have worsened.
  • Balzan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Balzan's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Lucia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Santa Lucia - Balzan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.53
    (5.01)
    4.74
    (4.95)
    1.32
    (1.43)
    10.4%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Santa Lucia - Balzan?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Lucia won 2.
    • In recent matches, Santa Lucia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Balzan is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Balzan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Santa Lucia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Balzan is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Santa Lucia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santa Lucia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Lucia - Balzan were as follows:
    10.02.2024 Balzan - Santa Lucia 0:1
    26.09.2023 Santa Lucia - Balzan 0:1
    07.01.2023 Balzan - Santa Lucia 3:1
    28.08.2022 Santa Lucia - Balzan 0:2
    Latest results of Santa Lucia
    09.12.2025 Żurrieq - Santa Lucia 4:0
    06.12.2025 Sirens - Santa Lucia 1:2
    Latest results of Balzan
    14.12.2025 Balzan - Żebbuġ Rangers 4:0
    10.12.2025 Fgura United - Balzan 1:2
    30.11.2025 Balzan - Mtarfa 4:0
    22.11.2025 Żurrieq - Balzan 0:1
    02.11.2025 Balzan - Swieqi United 4:0
    Maltese Challenge League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mgarr1784535:251028
    2Santa Lucia1757530:27322
    3Gudja1757517:18-122
    4Zurrieq17521025:29-417
    5Vittoriosa1744921:27-616
    6Zebbug17331116:38-2212
    7Marsa17251021:32-119
    8Mtarfa1711159:78-69-2

          Relegation