Villa Mitre vs Santamarina de Tandil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
18/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Round 10

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
65
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
65
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
34
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 11', Palmieri M. 🟨,
  • 12', Labaroni M. 🟨,
  • 14', 1 - 0, Manchafico V. ,
  • 14', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
  • 28', 2 - 0, Gonzalez L. ,
  • 45+1', 3 - 0, Mujica P. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', 🟨,
  • 59', 🟨,
  • 69', Peralta M. , Vivani J. ,

Chances of winning


Villa Mitre
61.2%
Draw
26.1%
Santamarina de Tandil
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.9% 26.5% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8% 25.6% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa Mitre's performance.
  • Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santamarina de Tandil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santamarina de Tandil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Villa Mitre - Santamarina de Tandil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.69)
    3.51
    (3.5)
    7.25
    (4.99)
    9.2%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre won 1.
    • Villa Mitre is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Santamarina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Villa Mitre is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Villa Mitre will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.1:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Villa Mitre won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villa Mitre - Santamarina de Tandil were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Santamarina de Tandil - Villa Mitre 1:1
    17.11.2024 Santamarina de Tandil - Villa Mitre 1:1
    10.11.2024 Villa Mitre - Santamarina de Tandil 1:0
    11.08.2024 Villa Mitre - Santamarina de Tandil 1:1
    19.05.2024 Santamarina de Tandil - Villa Mitre 0:0
    Latest results of Villa Mitre
    Latest results of Santamarina de Tandil
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    3Villa Mitre (10)Guillermo Brown (15)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    4ByeSportivo Belgrano (1)
    5Cipolletti (12)Kimberley (13)0 : 0, 0 : 1
    6Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1)Juventud U.U. (24)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    7Independiente Chivilcoy (11)Douglas Haig (14)1 : 0, 2 : 4
    8Argentino MM (2)Bye
    9Juventud Antoniana (9)Boca Unidos (16)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    10Chivilcoy (2)El Linqueno (23)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    119 de Julio Rafaela (7)Germinal (18)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    12Deportivo Rincon (4)Sportivo Las Parejas (21)5 : 0, 0 : 2
    13Costa Brava (8)Bartolome Mitre (17)0 : 0, 1 : 1
    14San Martin Formosa (3)Sol de Mayo (22)1 : 0, 1 : 2
    15Biblioteca Atenas (6)Sarmiento Resistencia (19)4 : 0, 1 : 0
    16Sarmiento de La Banda (5)San Martin Mendoza (20)1 : 1, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    2Guillermo Brown (14)Sportivo Belgrano (1)0 : 1, 2 : 0
    3Kimberley (12)Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3)1 : 3, 1 : 1
    4Douglas Haig (13)Argentino MM (2)1 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Juventud Antoniana (11)Chivilcoy (4)1 : 2, 0 : 0
    69 de Julio Rafaela (9)Deportivo Rincon (6)0 : 0, 2 : 1
    7Costa Brava (10)San Martin Formosa (5)1 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Biblioteca Atenas (8)Sarmiento de La Banda (7)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Guillermo Brown (8)1 : 0, 2 : 1
    2Olimpo Bahia Blanca (2)Douglas Haig (7)0 : 1, 0 : 5
    3Chivilcoy (3)9 de Julio Rafaela (6)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4San Martin Formosa (4)Biblioteca Atenas (5)3 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Douglas Haig (7)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    29 de Julio Rafaela (6)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 4, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 0, 1 : 0