Result
2:1
22/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Ascenso - Round 22
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Ledesma F. 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Melivilu Fuentes C. ⚽,
- 22', Plaza D. 🟨,
- 38', Ormeno E. 🟨,
- 41', Muller I. 🟨,
- 45+5', Delgado M. ↓, Campillay K. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Ledesma F. 🟨,
- 54', Plaza D. ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 0, Melivilu Fuentes C. ⚽,
- 61', Estay D. ↓, Escobar G. ↑,
- 61', Ormeno E. ↓, Salazar S. ↑,
- 61', Abalos A. ↓, Gauna N. A. ↑,
- 67', Iturra M. 🟨,
- 69', Iturra M. ↓, Asprea T. ↑,
- 69', Alvarez D. ↓, Gatica M. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Arias D. ⚽,
- 77', Caceres C. 🟨,
- 88', Contreras A. 🟨,
- 90', Melivilu Fuentes C. ↓, Camarda M. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Marcos de Arica
50.5% | Draw
26.6% | Santiago Morning
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Santiago Morning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
San Marcos de Arica - Santiago Morning Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.8) |
3.6 ↑
(3.4) |
4.17 ↓
(4.3) |
4.6%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica - Santiago Morning?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. San Marcos de Arica (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
San Marcos de Arica will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 3.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- San Marcos de Arica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has San Marcos de Arica won against Santiago Morning?
San Marcos de Arica has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santiago Morning won against San Marcos de Arica?
Santiago Morning has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcos de Arica - Santiago Morning were as follows:
19.04.2025
Santiago Morning
-
San Marcos de Arica
0:1
26.07.2024
Santiago Morning
-
San Marcos de Arica
0:1
08.03.2024
San Marcos de Arica
-
Santiago Morning
2:0
15.07.2023
San Marcos de Arica
-
Santiago Morning
2:2
28.02.2023
Santiago Morning
-
San Marcos de Arica
2:1
Latest results of San Marcos de Arica
Latest results of Santiago Morning
