Santiago Morning vs San Marcos de Arica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Primera B Santiago Morning - San Marcos de Arica
Result
0:1
19/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
58
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
49
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
58
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
49
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Pereira D. , Camarda M. ,
  • 62', Melivilu Fuentes C. 🟨,
  • 66', Ormeno E. 🟨,
  • 66', Taiva B. , Cid W. ,
  • 68', Castro P. , Salazar S. ,
  • 69', Camarda M. 🟨,
  • 70', Velazco F. , Gauna N. A. ,
  • 78', Asprea T. , Coronado M. ,
  • 79', Abalos A. , Guerra C. ,
  • 79', Barrios A. , Plaza D. ,
  • 83', 0 - 1, Camarda M. ,
  • 87', Guerra C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Santiago Morning
29.2%
Draw
30.3%
San Marcos de Arica
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.9% 28% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 26.9% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Santiago Morning - San Marcos de Arica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.15
    (3.08)
    3.03
    (3.3)
    2.27
    (2.19)
    8.8%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Santiago Morning won 1.
    • Santiago Morning is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches San Marcos de Arica is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Santiago Morning have a series of guest games.
    • San Marcos de Arica will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Santiago Morning won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15:21 (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Santiago Morning won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santiago Morning - San Marcos de Arica were as follows:
    26.07.2024 Santiago Morning - San Marcos de Arica 0:1
    08.03.2024 San Marcos de Arica - Santiago Morning 2:0
    15.07.2023 San Marcos de Arica - Santiago Morning 2:2
    28.02.2023 Santiago Morning - San Marcos de Arica 2:1