Unión San Felipe vs Santiago Morning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
25/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 29

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
94
Shots on target
70
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
45
Total shots
94
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Iturra M. 🟨,
  • 25', Delgado M. 🟨,
  • 30', Gonzalez Y. 🟨,
  • 33', Manriquez Hernandez F. 🟨,
  • 36', Garces P. 🟨,
  • 40', Ferrari J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', Castro P. , Campillay K. ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Cuellar D. ,
  • 62', Asprea T. , Arias D. ,
  • 67', Ferrari J. , Cordova J. ,
  • 69', 2 - 0, Vergara S. ,
  • 73', Ormeno E. 🟨,
  • 75', Taiva B. , Arancibia M. ,
  • 75', Manriquez Hernandez F. , Santelices G. ,
  • 77', Cuellar D. , Gonzalez D. ,
  • 81', Cordova J. 🟨,
  • 83', Navarro P. , Herrera H. ,
  • 83', Riveros B. , Sagredo B. ,
  • 90+4', Arias D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Unión San Felipe
42.2%
Draw
28.6%
Santiago Morning
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 28.4% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 29.2% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión San Felipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión San Felipe's performance.
  • Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santiago Morning might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión San Felipe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santiago Morning could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Unión San Felipe - Santiago Morning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.54)
    3.27
    (3.2)
    3.21
    (2.54)
    6.7%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Unión San Felipe - Santiago Morning?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Unión San Felipe will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Santiago Morning will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Unión San Felipe (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 2.
    • Unión San Felipe is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Santiago Morning's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Santiago Morning may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Unión San Felipe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión San Felipe won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión San Felipe - Santiago Morning were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Santiago Morning - Unión San Felipe 2:1
    25.09.2024 Santiago Morning - Unión San Felipe 0:1
    10.05.2024 Unión San Felipe - Santiago Morning 2:2
    29.07.2023 Unión San Felipe - Santiago Morning 2:1
    14.03.2023 Santiago Morning - Unión San Felipe 2:1