Result
2:1
22/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, NBC Universo, Peacock TV Premium, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (359/429) | 77% (238/310) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (359/429) | 77% (238/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (17/37) | 49% (31/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (112/144) | 49% (22/45) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (6/33) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Dajome C. ⚽, Barticciotto B. (A),
- 45', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Ricardinho ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
- 64', Villalba F. 🟨,
- 66', Estupinan O. ↓, Villalpando D. ↑,
- 67', Puma ↓, Fulgencio R. ↑,
- 73', Palacios K. ↓, Echeverria E. ↑,
- 73', Barticciotto B. ↓, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↑,
- 76', Garcia D. 🟨,
- 80', Zaldivar A. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 1, Zaldivar A. ⚽, Martinez Yepez H. E. (A),
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Garcia D. ⚽, Mayorga A. (A),
- 90+3', Fulgencio R. 🟨,
- 90+8', Madson ↓, Ochoa D. ↑,
- 90+8', Pizarro R. ↓, Silva L. ↑,
- 90+8', Dajome C. ↓, Medina D. ↑,
- 90+8', Villalba F. ↓, Mariscal Murra S. ↑,
- 90+8', Lopez A. ↓, Lozano C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Juárez
55.6% | Draw
24.7% | Santos Laguna
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juárez's performance.Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santos Laguna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juárez that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santos Laguna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Juárez - Santos Laguna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(2.01) |
3.79 ↑
(3.48) |
4.68 ↑
(3.53) |
6.2%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Juárez - Santos Laguna?
Users Predictions:
Juárez will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Juárez will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 4.
- In recent matches, Juárez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Santos Laguna has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, Juárez is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Santos Laguna: Sordo R.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Juárez: Gonzalez Mendoza J. A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Murillo J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Aquino P.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Santos Laguna?
Juárez has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos Laguna won against Juárez?
Santos Laguna has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - Santos Laguna were as follows:
29.01.2025
Juárez
-
Santos Laguna
1:0
06.10.2024
Santos Laguna
-
Juárez
0:2
31.03.2024
Juárez
-
Santos Laguna
2:1
29.10.2023
Santos Laguna
-
Juárez
5:1
11.02.2023
Juárez
-
Santos Laguna
3:1
Latest results of Santos Laguna
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 35:16 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Club America | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 27 |
| 3 | Monterrey | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25:19 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Juarez | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Atlas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Club Leon | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:22 | -10 | 12 |
| 13 | Mazatlan FC | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | Atl. San Luis | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 | Puebla | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
