Result
3:1
16/02/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 10
- Referee: Araujo V. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (439/490) | 85% (260/305) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 81% (114/140) | 81% (60/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 13% (2/15) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 70% (14/20) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Neymar (Pen),
- 22', Netinho 🟨,
- 27', 2 - 0, Thaciano ⚽,
- 33', Thaciano 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 1, Netinho ⚽, Gabriel Silva (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ze Ivaldo ↓, Luisao ↑,
- 46', Marco Antonio ↓, Neilton ↑,
- 46', Willen Mota ↓, Ramon Vinicius ↑,
- 59', Gabriel Bontempo 🟨,
- 60', Thaciano ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
- 60', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
- 64', Netinho ↓, Wesley Dias ↑,
- 66', Gabriel Silva ↓, Ademilson ↑,
- 69', Joao Schmidt ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 1, Guilherme ⚽, Neymar (A),
- 77', Davi Gomes ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 85', Neymar ↓, Miguelito ↑,
- 90+4', Guilherme 🟨,
- 90+7', Soteldo Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santos
74.6% | Draw
17.2% | Água Santa
8.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Água Santa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-20.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Água Santa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Santos - Água Santa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.26 ↓
(1.3) |
5.43 ↑
(4.85) |
11.41 ↑
(8.62) |
6.9%
(8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Santos - Água Santa?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Água Santa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Santos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Água Santa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Água Santa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Santos is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Santos won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Santos won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Água Santa?
Santos has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Água Santa won against Santos?
Água Santa has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Água Santa were as follows:
31.01.2024
Água Santa
-
Santos
0:1
25.01.2023
Santos
-
Água Santa
0:0
Latest results of Água Santa
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sao Bernardo | Palmeiras | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | Novorizontino | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Mirassol | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Santos | Bragantino | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Santos | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Corinthians | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
