Result
2:3
19/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 12
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Suriname | QN Sports |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | Onefootball, TV Globo Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (377/444) | 86% (431/502) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (377/444) | 86% (431/502) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (22/39) | 52% (22/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (78/109) | 81% (96/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.49 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽,
- 20', Igor Vinicius 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 1, Savarino J. ⚽, Castillo R. (A),
- 25', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
- 33', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
- 33', Bernal F. 🟨,
- 45+4', Alisson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Moises ↓, Rafael Gonzaga ↑,
- 57', 2 - 1, Barreal A. ⚽, Gabriel Barbosa (A),
- 58', Alisson ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 60', 2 - 2, Castillo R. ⚽, Guga (A),
- 61', Barreal A. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 65', Lucas Verissimo 🟨,
- 80', Bernal F. ↓, Otavio ↑,
- 80', Savarino J. ↓, Riquelme Felipe ↑,
- 81', Gustavo Henrique ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 3, John Kennedy ⚽, Guga (A),
- 87', Castillo R. ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
- 87', Serna K. ↓, Rene ↑,
- 88', Luan Peres 🟨,
- 89', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 90+3', Otavio 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santos
42.6% | Draw
29.5% | Fluminense
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Santos - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.59) |
3.21 ↑
(3.05) |
3.38 ↑
(2.72) |
5.4%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Santos - Fluminense?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Fluminense will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Santos: Escobar G.
(Yellow Cards)
Gabriel Menino
(Hamstring Injury)
Mayke
(Knee Injury)
Vinicius Lira
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Fluminense: Acosta L.
(Injury)
Cano G.
(Inactive)
Canobbio A.
(Yellow Cards)
Martinelli
(Yellow Cards)
Matheus Reis
(Inactive)
Nonato
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos: Moises
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Fluminense?
Santos has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Santos?
Fluminense has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Fluminense were as follows:
31.08.2025
Santos
-
Fluminense
0:0
13.04.2025
Fluminense
-
Santos
1:0
29.11.2023
Santos
-
Fluminense
0:3
29.07.2023
Fluminense
-
Santos
1:0
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 19 | Remo | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
