Result
4:2
28/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 1
- Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (207/281) | 89% (481/540) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 12 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 14 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (207/281) | 89% (481/540) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (33/68) | 57% (17/30) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (31/51) | 81% (163/201) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 28% (11/39) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.05 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | -2.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', Duarte A. 🟨,
- 15', Gabriel Brazao 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 0, Clar W. (Penalty Awarded),
- 40', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Gabriel Menino ⚽, Igor Vinicius (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Everton ↑,
- 46', Caballero G. ↓, Barreal A. ↑,
- 58', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 58', Marcinho ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 63', Camilo Reijers 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 2, Barreal A. ⚽, Ze Rafael (A),
- 68', Camilo Reijers ↓, Higor Meritao ↑,
- 73', 2 - 2, Higor Meritao ⚽, Joao Paulo (A),
- 75', Joao Paulo ↓, Robert Conceicao ↑,
- 77', Diaz L. ↓, Fernando Tank ↑,
- 78', Ze Rafael ↓, Robinho Jr. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 2, Jean Carlos ⚽,
- 81', Gabriel Menino 🟨,
- 84', Miguelito ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
- 89', Gabriel Menino ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
- 90', 4 - 2, Rafael Carvalheira ⚽, Jean Carlos (A),
Chances of winning
Chapecoense
32.2% | Draw
29.7% | Santos
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Chapecoense - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↓
(3.13) |
3.18 ↑
(3.17) |
2.48 ↑
(2.29) |
5.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Santos?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Santos (1.84) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.25 - Chapecoense (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Santos will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Santos will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Santos (votes: 8 - 88.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 1.
- Chapecoense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Santos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias
(Knee Injury)
Bruno Pacheco
(Injury)
Jhonnathan
(Inactive)
Mancha
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Santos: Gabriel Bontempo
(Inactive)
Neymar
(Knee Injury)
Thaciano
(Inactive)
Tiquinho Soares
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Marlon
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Santos?
Chapecoense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Chapecoense?
Santos has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Santos were as follows:
16.10.2024
Chapecoense
-
Santos
3:2
01.07.2024
Santos
-
Chapecoense
1:0
Latest results of Chapecoense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Gremio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Santos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Atletico-MG | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Vasco | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
