Result
1:2
08/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 7
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (148/214) | 88% (514/582) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (148/214) | 88% (514/582) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (26/52) | 56% (36/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (31/59) | 73% (110/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 2.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Pedro Carrerette (Own goal),
- 16', 1 - 1, Pedro Carrerette ⚽, Diego Mathias (A),
- 19', Barreal A. ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
- 29', 1 - 2, Rony ⚽, Igor Vinicius (A),
- 45+5', Thiago Lopes 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Miguelito 🟨,
- 71', Diego Mathias ↓, Marlyson ↑,
- 71', Ronaldo Alves ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
- 71', Cristiano ↓, Igor ↑,
- 74', Igor Vinicius 🟨,
- 75', Marlyson 🟨,
- 78', Gabriel Barbosa ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 78', Rony ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 84', Sanchez ↓, Leocovick ↑,
- 87', Escobar G. ↓, Vinicius Lira ↑,
- 87', Miguelito ↓, Nadson ↑,
- 88', Taua ↓, Rafael Silva ↑,
- 89', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,
Chances of winning
EC Noroeste
18.7% | Draw
27.1% | Santos
54.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that EC Noroeste's form might have worsened.Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santos's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EC Noroeste, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
EC Noroeste - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.95 ↑
(3.59) |
3.45 ↑
(3.11) |
1.73 ↓
(2.07) |
7.1%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for EC Noroeste - Santos?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Noroeste will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Santos will win (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Noroeste (votes: 1 - 50%). Santos (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Santos (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Noroeste (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Santos (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 14).
- Noroeste has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Santos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Noroeste may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Santos is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Noroeste: Leo Sena
(Injury)
Pedro Felipe
(Yellow Cards)
Peixoto
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Santos: Gabriel Menino
(Red Card)
Gustavo Henrique
(Muscle Injury)
Neymar
(Knee Injury)
Thaciano
(Inactive)
Willian Arao
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Noroeste: Maycon
(Injury)
Robertinho
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Noroeste won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has EC Noroeste won against Santos?
EC Noroeste has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against EC Noroeste?
Santos has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between EC Noroeste - Santos were as follows:
19.02.2025
Santos
-
EC Noroeste
3:0
Latest results of EC Noroeste
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
