Result
2:2
10/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 5
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Spain | Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (386/439) | 81% (292/359) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (386/439) | 81% (292/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 74% (28/38) | 46% (27/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (95/119) | 66% (73/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 2.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Igor Formiga ⚽, Alesson (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 55', Joao Schmidt 🟨,
- 65', Willian Machado 🟨,
- 65', Joao Schmidt ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
- 65', Willian Arao ↓, Oliva C. ↑,
- 65', Vinicius Lira ↓, Barreal A. ↑,
- 69', Nathan Fogaca ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
- 69', Alesson ↓, Edson Carioca ↑,
- 71', 2 - 0, Negueba ⚽, Shaylon (A),
- 74', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
- 74', Luan Peres ↓, Ze Ivaldo ↑,
- 79', Negueba ↓, Galeano A. ↑,
- 80', Shaylon ↓, Gabriel Pires ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽,
- 88', 2 - 2, Gabriel Barbosa (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+1', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
- 90+2', Neto Moura ↓, Everton Galdino ↑,
Chances of winning
Mirassol
51% | Draw
26.8% | Santos
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Mirassol - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(1.96) |
3.51 ↑
(3.45) |
4.25 ↑
(3.65) |
5.8%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Santos?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Santos will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 19.1% – 73.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Santos (2.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mirassol will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Santos (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1.
- Mirassol is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Santos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mirassol is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Andre Luis
(Inactive)
Daniel Borges
(Inactive)
Edson Carioca
(Muscle Injury)
Eduardo
(Injury)
Igor Formiga
(Inactive)
Renato Marques
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Reinaldo
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos: Thaciano
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Santos?
Mirassol has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Mirassol?
Santos has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Santos were as follows:
19.11.2025
Santos
-
Mirassol
1:1
19.07.2025
Mirassol
-
Santos
3:0
16.01.2025
Santos
-
Mirassol
2:1
12.10.2024
Santos
-
Mirassol
3:2
25.06.2024
Mirassol
-
Santos
0:0
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
