Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1, Dubai Sports 3 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (288/357) | 83% (394/473) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (288/357) | 83% (394/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (25/43) | 51% (27/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (74/110) | 66% (64/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 2.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Victor Hugo ↓, Barreal A. ↑,
- 45+4', Rodriguinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rodriguinho ↓, Rigoni E. ↑,
- 46', Dinenno J. ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
- 48', Frias A. 🟨,
- 56', Luan Silva ↓, Marcos Antonio ↑,
- 60', Ferreira ↓, Luciano ↑,
- 60', 1 - 0, Guilherme ⚽, Rollheiser B. (A),
- 68', Diaz L. ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
- 72', Rollheiser B. ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 72', Guilherme ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
- 80', Escobar G. 🟨,
- 84', Wendell ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
- 90', Luciano 🟨,
- 90+8', Rigoni E. 🟨,
- 90+9', Gabriel Brazao 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santos
39.3% | Draw
31% | São Paulo
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Santos - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↓
(2.57) |
3.06 ↑
(2.99) |
3.22 ↑
(2.89) |
5.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Santos - São Paulo?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 1 - 20%). São Paulo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Santos might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Santos: Arao W.
(Muscle Injury)
Igor Vinicius
(Yellow Cards)
Ze Ivaldo
(Red Card)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva
(Knee Injury)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
Oscar
(Back Injury)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
Tapia G.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Santos: Gabriel Brazao
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against São Paulo?
Santos has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Santos?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - São Paulo were as follows:
20.04.2025
São Paulo
-
Santos
2:1
01.02.2025
Santos
-
São Paulo
3:1
14.02.2024
São Paulo
-
Santos
0:1
12.11.2023
Santos
-
São Paulo
0:0
16.07.2023
São Paulo
-
Santos
4:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
