Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Suriname | SCCN |
Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1, Dubai Sports 3 |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.68 | 0.28 |
Ball Possession |
---|
44% | 56% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
81% (288/357) | 83% (394/473) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.68 | 0.28 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.04 | 0.02 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
9 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
81% (288/357) | 83% (394/473) |
Long passes |
---|
58% (25/43) | 51% (27/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (74/110) | 66% (64/97) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (8/21) | 25% (4/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.39 | 0.49 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (10/14) | 67% (6/9) |
Duels won |
---|
62 | 37 |
Clearances |
---|
28 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.02 | 2.04 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.02 | 1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Victor Hugo ↓, Barreal A. ↑,
- 45+4', Rodriguinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rodriguinho ↓, Rigoni E. ↑,
- 46', Dinenno J. ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
- 48', Frias A. 🟨,
- 56', Luan Silva ↓, Marcos Antonio ↑,
- 60', Ferreira ↓, Luciano ↑,
- 60', 1 - 0, Guilherme ⚽, Rollheiser B. (A),
- 68', Diaz L. ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
- 72', Rollheiser B. ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 72', Guilherme ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
- 80', Escobar G. 🟨,
- 84', Wendell ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
- 90', Luciano 🟨,
- 90+8', Rigoni E. 🟨,
- 90+9', Gabriel Brazao 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santos 39.3% | Draw 31% | São Paulo 29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Santos - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.41 ↓ (2.57) |
3.06 ↑ (2.99) |
3.22 ↑ (2.89) |
5.2% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Santos - São Paulo?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 1 - 20%). São Paulo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Santos might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Santos: Arao W.
(Muscle Injury)
Igor Vinicius
(Yellow Cards)
Ze Ivaldo
(Red Card)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva
(Knee Injury)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
Oscar
(Back Injury)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
Tapia G.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Santos: Gabriel Brazao
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against São Paulo?
Santos has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Santos?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - São Paulo were as follows:
20.04.2025
São Paulo
-
Santos
2:1
01.02.2025
Santos
-
São Paulo
3:1
14.02.2024
São Paulo
-
Santos
0:1
12.11.2023
Santos
-
São Paulo
0:0
16.07.2023
São Paulo
-
Santos
4:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
4 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Mirassol | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 43 |
6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
7 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 38 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 36 |
10 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
11 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
13 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
14 | Corinthians | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
15 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 29 |
16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet