Santos vs São Paulo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Santos - São Paulo
Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
israelIsraelSport 4
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
surinameSurinameSCCN
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1, Dubai Sports 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.28
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
194
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
81% (288/357)83% (394/473)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.28
xG on target (xGOT)
2.040.02
Total shots
194
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
90
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2614
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1716
Passes
81% (288/357)83% (394/473)
Long passes
58% (25/43)51% (27/53)
Passes in final third
67% (74/110)66% (64/97)
Crosses
38% (8/21)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.49
Throw-ins
1524
Fouls
1617
Tackles
71% (10/14)67% (6/9)
Duels won
6237
Clearances
2825
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.022.04
Goals prevented
0.021.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Victor Hugo , Barreal A. ,
  • 45+4', Rodriguinho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rodriguinho , Rigoni E. ,
  • 46', Dinenno J. , Bobadilla D. ,
  • 48', Frias A. 🟨,
  • 56', Luan Silva , Marcos Antonio ,
  • 60', Ferreira , Luciano ,
  • 60', 1 - 0, Guilherme , Rollheiser B. (A),
  • 68', Diaz L. , Tiquinho Soares ,
  • 72', Rollheiser B. , Thaciano ,
  • 72', Guilherme , Rincon T. ,
  • 80', Escobar G. 🟨,
  • 84', Wendell , Diaz E. ,
  • 90', Luciano 🟨,
  • 90+8', Rigoni E. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Gabriel Brazao 🟨,

Chances of winning


Santos
39.3%
Draw
31%
São Paulo
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 31.2% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 31.7% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Santos - São Paulo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.57)
    3.06
    (2.99)
    3.22
    (2.89)
    5.2%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Santos - São Paulo?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 1 - 20%). São Paulo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Santos might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Santos: Arao W. (Muscle Injury) Igor Vinicius (Yellow Cards) Ze Ivaldo (Red Card)
    • There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva (Knee Injury) Jonathan Calleri (Knee Injury) Lucas Moura (Knee Injury) Luiz Gustavo (Contusion) Oscar (Back Injury) Ryan Francisco (Knee Injury) Tapia G. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Santos: Gabriel Brazao (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - São Paulo were as follows:
    20.04.2025 São Paulo - Santos 2:1
    01.02.2025 Santos - São Paulo 3:1
    14.02.2024 São Paulo - Santos 0:1
    12.11.2023 Santos - São Paulo 0:0
    16.07.2023 São Paulo - Santos 4:1
    Latest results of Santos
    14.09.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Santos 1:1
    31.08.2025 Santos - Fluminense 0:0
    24.08.2025 Bahia - Santos 2:0
    17.08.2025 Santos - Vasco da Gama 0:6
    10.08.2025 Cruzeiro - Santos 1:2
    Latest results of São Paulo
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ25167250:123855
    2Palmeiras24164439:192052
    3Cruzeiro26156539:192051
    4Botafogo RJ27127837:231443
    5Mirassol251110442:251743
    6Bahia25117733:30340
    7Fluminense25115933:31238
    8Sao Paulo26108829:25438
    9Bragantino271061133:38-536
    10Gremio27891028:33-533
    11Internacional26881032:38-632
    12Ceara25871023:24-131
    13Vasco26861238:38030
    14Corinthians26791026:32-630
    15Atletico-MG25781022:29-729
    16Santos25771125:35-1028
    17Vitoria265101121:38-1725
    18Juventude25651420:46-2623
    19Fortaleza25561424:40-1621
    20Sport Recife24291318:37-1915

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet