São Bernardo vs Capivariano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
10/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista - Round 1
  • Referee: Batalha M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilHBO Max

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.831.47
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
54
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
67
Passes
83% (281/339)81% (245/304)
Yellow cards
25
Expected goals (xG)
2.831.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.490.38
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
76
Shots inside the box
129
Shots outside the box
47
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
1917
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1812
Passes
83% (281/339)81% (245/304)
Long passes
52% (28/54)44% (12/27)
Passes in final third
50% (31/62)75% (69/92)
Crosses
31% (5/16)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.98
Throw ins
2625
Fouls
1218
Tackles
63% (10/16)54% (7/13)
Duels won
6040
Clearances
2721
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
0.382.49
Goals prevented
0.38-1.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Echapora , Romisson (A),
  • 33', Helder Maciel 🟨,
  • 36', Leonan Santos 🟨,
  • 41', Bastos R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Leonan Santos , Tarcisio ,
  • 46', Bastos R. , Ravanelli ,
  • 57', 2 - 0, Echapora ,
  • 65', Echapora , Pedro Vitor ,
  • 65', Victor Andrade , Pedrinho ,
  • 66', Foguinho , Marcao Silva ,
  • 71', 3 - 0, Felipe Garcia (Penalty Awarded),
  • 74', Felipe Azevedo , Baianinho ,
  • 74', Mike , Matheus Guilherme ,
  • 77', Felipe Garcia , Fabricio Daniel ,
  • 77', Thiago Moraes , Vinicius Guedes ,
  • 79', Baianinho 🟨,
  • 83', Ravanelli 🟨,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 85', Joao Paulo , Rodrigues F. ,
  • 90+2', Tarcisio 🟨,
  • 90+4', 4 - 0, Pedro Vitor ,

Chances of winning


São Bernardo
54.4%
Draw
28.3%
Capivariano
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 28.5% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Capivariano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • São Bernardo - Capivariano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.74)
    3.27
    (3.23)
    5.26
    (4.93)
    8.3%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for São Bernardo - Capivariano?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25, 1st Half - São Bernardo (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. São Bernardo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, São Bernardo is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Capivariano: Guilherme Nogueira (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Bernardo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, São Bernardo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of São Bernardo
    11.10.2025 Londrina - São Bernardo 1:1
    05.10.2025 São Bernardo - Caxias 1:0
    28.09.2025 São Bernardo - Floresta 0:1
    21.09.2025 Floresta - São Bernardo 0:0
    13.09.2025 Caxias - São Bernardo 0:0
    Latest results of Capivariano
    05.04.2025 EC Primavera - Capivariano 1:2
    02.04.2025 Capivariano - EC Primavera 0:0
    29.03.2025 Capivariano - Ituano 3:1
    23.03.2025 Ituano - Capivariano 0:1
    19.03.2025 Capivariano - Piracicaba 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Novorizontino (1)Santos (8)2 : 1
    2Portuguesa (4)Corinthians (5)1 : 2
    3Palmeiras (2)Capivariano (7)4 : 0
    4Bragantino (3)Sao Paulo (6)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Novorizontino (1)Corinthians (5)
    2Palmeiras (2)Sao Paulo (6)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2