São Bernardo vs Capivariano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
10/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista - Round 1
  • Referee: Batalha M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilHBO Max

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.831.47
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
54
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
67
Passes
83% (281/339)81% (245/304)
Yellow cards
25
Expected goals (xG)
2.831.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.490.38
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
76
Shots inside the box
129
Shots outside the box
47
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
1917
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1812
Passes
83% (281/339)81% (245/304)
Long passes
52% (28/54)44% (12/27)
Passes in final third
50% (31/62)75% (69/92)
Crosses
31% (5/16)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.98
Throw ins
2625
Fouls
1218
Tackles
63% (10/16)54% (7/13)
Duels won
6040
Clearances
2721
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
0.382.49
Goals prevented
0.38-1.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Echapora , Romisson (A),
  • 33', Helder Maciel 🟨,
  • 36', Leonan Santos 🟨,
  • 41', Bastos R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Leonan Santos , Tarcisio ,
  • 46', Bastos R. , Ravanelli ,
  • 57', 2 - 0, Echapora ,
  • 65', Echapora , Pedro Vitor ,
  • 65', Victor Andrade , Pedrinho ,
  • 66', Foguinho , Marcao Silva ,
  • 71', 3 - 0, Felipe Garcia (Penalty Awarded),
  • 74', Felipe Azevedo , Baianinho ,
  • 74', Mike , Matheus Guilherme ,
  • 77', Felipe Garcia , Fabricio Daniel ,
  • 77', Thiago Moraes , Vinicius Guedes ,
  • 79', Baianinho 🟨,
  • 83', Ravanelli 🟨,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 85', Joao Paulo , Rodrigues F. ,
  • 90+2', Tarcisio 🟨,
  • 90+4', 4 - 0, Pedro Vitor ,

Chances of winning


São Bernardo
54.4%
Draw
28.3%
Capivariano
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 28.5% 18.7%

São Bernardo - Capivariano Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.7
(1.74)
3.27
(3.23)
5.26
(4.93)
8.3%
(8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for São Bernardo - Capivariano?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25, 1st Half - São Bernardo (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. São Bernardo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, São Bernardo is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Capivariano: Guilherme Nogueira (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Bernardo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, São Bernardo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of São Bernardo
    11.10.2025 Londrina - São Bernardo 1:1
    05.10.2025 São Bernardo - Caxias 1:0
    28.09.2025 São Bernardo - Floresta 0:1
    21.09.2025 Floresta - São Bernardo 0:0
    13.09.2025 Caxias - São Bernardo 0:0
    Latest results of Capivariano
    05.04.2025 EC Primavera - Capivariano 1:2
    02.04.2025 Capivariano - EC Primavera 0:0
    29.03.2025 Capivariano - Ituano 3:1
    23.03.2025 Ituano - Capivariano 0:1
    19.03.2025 Capivariano - Piracicaba 3:1
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Novorizontino641114:6813
    2Palmeiras64026:6012
    3Bragantino633010:1912
    4Guarani63215:4111
    5Portuguesa63037:619
    6Mirassol62229:548
    7Corinthians52216:518
    8Sao Bernardo62227:708
    9Botafogo SP62223:8-58
    10Primavera621310:1007
    11Capivariano52125:7-27
    12Sao Paulo62137:10-37
    13Noroeste61417:617
    14Santos61324:6-26
    15Velo Clube61141:6-54
    16Ponte Preta60152:10-81

          Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista A2