São Bernardo vs Caxias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C São Bernardo - Caxias
Result
1:0
18/05/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
193
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
57
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
193
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
142
Corner Kicks
57
Goalkeeper Saves
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Tomas Bastos 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Iago , Douglas Skilo ,
  • 56', Thiago Ennes 🟨,
  • 57', Felipe Azevedo , Sillas ,
  • 64', Thiago Ennes , Ronei ,
  • 64', Willen Mota , Eliedson ,
  • 65', Emerson Santos 🟨,
  • 66', Foguinho , Dudu Miraima ,
  • 66', Hugo Sanches , Rodrigo Ferreira ,
  • 73', Romisson , Vitinho ,
  • 73', Pedro Felipe , Felipe Garcia ,
  • 78', Calyson , Richard ,
  • 78', Tomas Bastos , Eduardo Melo ,
  • 82', Helder Maciel 🟨,
  • 90+7', 1 - 0, Dudu Miraima ,

Chances of winning


São Bernardo
52.5%
Draw
28.2%
Caxias
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 27% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 27.7% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • São Bernardo - Caxias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.81)
    3.27
    (3.4)
    4.77
    (4.1)
    8.4%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • São Bernardo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Caxias is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Caxias may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, São Bernardo is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Bernardo - Caxias were as follows:
    04.08.2024 São Bernardo - Caxias 2:0
    Latest results of São Bernardo
    10.05.2025 Guarani - São Bernardo 0:1
    05.05.2025 São Bernardo - Londrina 0:0
    27.04.2025 Itabaiana - São Bernardo 0:1
    20.04.2025 Maringá - São Bernardo 1:0
    13.04.2025 São Bernardo - ABC 1:1
    Latest results of Caxias
    11.05.2025 Caxias - Retrô Brasil 2:1
    05.05.2025 Figueirense - Caxias 2:3
    28.04.2025 Caxias - Guarani 2:0
    20.04.2025 Confiança - Caxias 2:1
    13.04.2025 Caxias - Floresta 1:0
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias1390422:16627
    2Ponte Preta1382313:10326
    3Londrina1365221:12923
    4Sao Bernardo1364314:8622
    5Ypiranga FC1362512:14-220
    6Nautico1355314:6820
    7Floresta EC1354410:11-119
    8Brusque1353512:12018
    9CSA1346315:12318
    10Ituano1345412:13-117
    11Botafogo PB1344515:11416
    12Guarani1344510:12-216
    13Figueirense1336415:14115
    14Maringa FC1336417:19-215
    15ABC1329215:17-215
    16Confianca1334614:19-513
    17Anapolis132749:13-413
    18Retro133376:15-912
    19Itabaiana133289:16-711
    20Tombense1325611:16-511

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D