Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Second stage - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Mossoro 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Dudu Miraima ⚽,
- 44', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jhonatan Ribeiro ↓, Guilherme Mantuan ↑,
- 46', Welder ↓, Giovane Gomez ↑,
- 46', Vinicius Guedes ↓, Kelvyn ↑,
- 50', Echapora 🟨,
- 60', Felipe Azevedo 🟨,
- 61', Junior Oliveira 🟨,
- 63', Echapora ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
- 63', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Pedro Felipe ↑,
- 66', 🟨,
- 69', Calyson 🟨,
- 73', Yann Rolim ↓, Gustavo Nescau ↑,
- 73', 🟨,
- 76', Dudu Miraima ↓, Bruno Silva ↑,
- 79', 🟨,
- 82', Joao Paulo ↓, Bastos R. ↑,
- 82', Felipe Garcia ↓, Romisson ↑,
- 85', Douglas 🟥,
- 86', 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟥,
Chances of winning
São Bernardo
53.9% | Draw
29.5% | Caxias
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Bernardo's performance.Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caxias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caxias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
São Bernardo - Caxias Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.92) |
3.17 ↑
(3.03) |
5.62 ↑
(3.96) |
6.9%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Bernardo - Caxias?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 and 4)
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- São Bernardo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, São Bernardo is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, São Bernardo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Bernardo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has São Bernardo won against Caxias?
São Bernardo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against São Bernardo?
Caxias has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Bernardo - Caxias were as follows:
13.09.2025
Caxias
-
São Bernardo
0:0
18.05.2025
São Bernardo
-
Caxias
1:0
04.08.2024
São Bernardo
-
Caxias
2:0
Latest results of São Bernardo
Brazilian Serie C Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ituano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Maringa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Brusque | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Floresta EC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Paysandu PA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Botafogo PB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Amazonas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Figueirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Guarani | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Maranhao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Ypiranga FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | SER Caxias | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Inter de Limeira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Confianca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Barra FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Anapolis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
