Result
1:0
18/05/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
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Ball Possession |
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55% | 45% |
Total shots |
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19 | 3 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 7 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 2 |
Total shots |
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19 | 3 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 1 |
Shots off target |
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14 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 7 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Tomas Bastos 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Iago ↓, Douglas Skilo ↑,
- 56', Thiago Ennes 🟨,
- 57', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Sillas ↑,
- 64', Thiago Ennes ↓, Ronei ↑,
- 64', Willen Mota ↓, Eliedson ↑,
- 65', Emerson Santos 🟨,
- 66', Foguinho ↓, Dudu Miraima ↑,
- 66', Hugo Sanches ↓, Rodrigo Ferreira ↑,
- 73', Romisson ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 73', Pedro Felipe ↓, Felipe Garcia ↑,
- 78', Calyson ↓, Richard ↑,
- 78', Tomas Bastos ↓, Eduardo Melo ↑,
- 82', Helder Maciel 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 0, Dudu Miraima ⚽,
Chances of winning
São Bernardo 52.5% | Draw 28.2% | Caxias 19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
São Bernardo - Caxias Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.76 ↓ (1.81) |
3.27 ↓ (3.4) |
4.77 ↑ (4.1) |
8.4% (9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
- São Bernardo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Caxias is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Caxias may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, São Bernardo is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
- Including home match between the teams, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has São Bernardo won against Caxias?
São Bernardo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against São Bernardo?
Caxias has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Bernardo - Caxias were as follows:
04.08.2024
São Bernardo
-
Caxias
2:0
Latest results of São Bernardo
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | SER Caxias | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 36 |
2 | Nautico | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:6 | 14 | 29 |
3 | Sao Bernardo | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 29 |
4 | Ponte Preta | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 27 |
5 | Londrina | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Floresta EC | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Brusque | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 22 |
8 | Ypiranga FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13:17 | -4 | 21 |
9 | CSA | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 21 |
10 | Confianca | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
11 | Guarani | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 20 |
12 | Ituano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Botafogo PB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 19 |
14 | Anapolis | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 19 |
15 | Itabaiana | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13:17 | -4 | 18 |
16 | Maringa FC | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 20:22 | -2 | 18 |
17 | Figueirense | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
18 | ABC | 16 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
19 | Retro | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6:19 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Tombense | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D