Result
1:1
20/02/2025 at 19:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 11
- Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Max, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, TNT, UOL Play, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (290/361) | 80% (282/352) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 61% (54/89) | 71% (72/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 33% (9/27) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 69% (11/16) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Helder Maciel 🟨,
- 23', Cristiano ↓, Rildo ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Romisson ↓, Emerson Santos ↑,
- 58', Guilherme Queiroz ↓, Lucas Rian ↑,
- 62', 1 - 0, Rildo ⚽, Barba (A),
- 65', Leo Jaba 🟨,
- 69', Eduardo Biazus 🟨,
- 71', Renan 🟨,
- 73', Jaja ↓, Igor Torres ↑,
- 73', Renan ↓, Henrique Almeida ↑,
- 78', Arthur Henrique 🟨,
- 79', Arthur Henrique ↓, Hugo Sanches ↑,
- 79', Daniel Fabricio ↓, Rodolfo ↑,
- 80', Rildo 🟨,
- 83', Rildo ↓, Matheus Nunes ↑,
- 84', Maceio ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
- 88', Augusto ↓, Felipe Azevedo ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Leo Jaba (Pen),
Chances of winning
Portuguesa
36.6% | Draw
30.9% | São Bernardo
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Bernardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Portuguesa - São Bernardo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↓
(2.73) |
2.96 ↓
(3.22) |
2.85 ↑
(2.47) |
8.4%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lipscomb won 1.
- Lipscomb is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- North Alabama is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- In this match Lipscomb is a favorite.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Lipscomb won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 1009:974 (average 77.6:74.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lipscomb won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 504:454 (average 84:75.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Portuguesa won against São Bernardo?
Portuguesa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Bernardo won against Portuguesa?
São Bernardo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portuguesa - São Bernardo were as follows:
07.02.2024
São Bernardo
-
Portuguesa
1:0
Latest results of Portuguesa
Latest results of São Bernardo
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sao Bernardo | Palmeiras | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | Novorizontino | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Mirassol | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Santos | Bragantino | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Santos | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Corinthians | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
