Result
2:0
03/08/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 0, Hugo Sanches ⚽,
- 62', Bastos R. ↓, Felipe Garcia ↑,
- 62', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
- 75', Pedro Felipe ↓, Echapora ↑,
- 78', 2 - 0, Romisson ⚽,
- 80', Julio Henrique 🟨,
- 81', Para ↓, Caio Garcez ↑,
- 83', Fabricio Dias ↓, Andre Cardoso ↑,
- 83', Lucas Mila ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 83', Jefferson Renan ↓, Jupi ↑,
- 85', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 90+3', Adson 🟥,
Chances of winning
São Bernardo
63.5% | Draw
25.3% | Tombense
11.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
São Bernardo - Tombense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.5) |
3.65 ↑
(3.48) |
8.21 ↑
(6.66) |
8.2%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Bernardo - Tombense?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Bernardo: 68.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - São Bernardo (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. São Bernardo (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
- São Bernardo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tombense is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, São Bernardo is the clear favorite.
- We predict that São Bernardo will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
- Including home match between the teams, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
How many head-to-head matches has São Bernardo won against Tombense?
São Bernardo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against São Bernardo?
Tombense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Bernardo - Tombense were as follows:
27.04.2024
São Bernardo
-
Tombense
4:2
Latest results of São Bernardo
Latest results of Tombense
Brazilian Serie C Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo PB | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Guarani | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paysandu PA | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Brusque | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Floresta EC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Barra FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Ituano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Maringa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Amazonas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Inter de Limeira | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | SER Caxias | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Figueirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Ypiranga FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Maranhao | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Itabaiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Confianca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Ferroviaria | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Anapolis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Volta Redonda | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
