Result
2:0
03/08/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 0, Hugo Sanches ⚽,
- 62', Bastos R. ↓, Felipe Garcia ↑,
- 62', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
- 75', Pedro Felipe ↓, Echapora ↑,
- 78', 2 - 0, Romisson ⚽,
- 80', Julio Henrique 🟨,
- 81', Para ↓, Caio Garcez ↑,
- 83', Fabricio Dias ↓, Andre Cardoso ↑,
- 83', Lucas Mila ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 83', Jefferson Renan ↓, Jupi ↑,
- 85', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 90+3', Adson 🟥,
Chances of winning
São Bernardo
63.5% | Draw
25.3% | Tombense
11.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
São Bernardo - Tombense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.5) |
3.65 ↑
(3.48) |
8.21 ↑
(6.66) |
8.2%
(10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Bernardo - Tombense?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Bernardo: 68.4% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
- São Bernardo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tombense is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, São Bernardo is the clear favorite.
- We predict that São Bernardo will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
- Including home match between the teams, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
How many head-to-head matches has São Bernardo won against Tombense?
São Bernardo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against São Bernardo?
Tombense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Bernardo - Tombense were as follows:
27.04.2024
São Bernardo
-
Tombense
4:2
Latest results of São Bernardo
Latest results of Tombense
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias ✔ | 17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 37 |
| 2 | Nautico ✔ | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 21:6 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 30 |
| 4 | Londrina ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Floresta EC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Confianca | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Guarani | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Brusque | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Ypiranga FC | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | CSA | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Ituano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 13 | Maringa FC | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo PB | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:19 | 2 | 20 |
| 15 | Figueirense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 16 | Anapolis | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:18 | -5 | 18 |
| 18 | ABC | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Retro ✔ | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6:20 | -14 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense ✔ | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
Clinched Spots for Teams
SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Nautico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Londrina is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Sao Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Retro is Relegated to Serie D
Tombense is Relegated to Serie D
