Result
2:1
04/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Robson D. ⚽,
- 12', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 44', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
São Caetano
48.3% | Draw
29.1% | Comercial SP
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
São Caetano - Comercial SP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.8) |
3.1 ↓
(3.21) |
3.99 ↓
(4.27) |
11%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- São Caetano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Comercial SP is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, São Caetano is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, São Caetano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
- Including home match between the teams, São Caetano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has São Caetano won against Comercial SP?
São Caetano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comercial SP won against São Caetano?
Comercial SP has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Caetano - Comercial SP were as follows:
18.02.2023
São Caetano
-
Comercial SP
1:2
Latest results of São Caetano
Latest results of Comercial SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter de Bebedouro ✔ | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Sao Caetano ✔ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Penapolense | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Barretos EC | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 22 |
| 5 | Lemense | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Sao-Carlense | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Jacarei FC | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Taquaritinga | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Tanabi | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | ECUS SP | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 17 |
| 11 | Comercial | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Jabaquara | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Vocem | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Colorado Caieiras | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional SP | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7:20 | -13 | 7 |
| 16 | AEA Aracatuba | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6:24 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Paulista B
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter de Bebedouro is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Sao Caetano is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
