Result
04/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
São Caetano
54.7% | Draw
26.9% | Comercial SP
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Caetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
São Caetano - Comercial SP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.8) |
3.34 ↑
(3.21) |
4.91 ↑
(4.27) |
11.1%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- São Caetano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Comercial SP is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, São Caetano is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, São Caetano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
- Including home match between the teams, São Caetano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has São Caetano won against Comercial SP?
São Caetano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comercial SP won against São Caetano?
Comercial SP has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Caetano - Comercial SP were as follows:
18.02.2023
São Caetano
-
Comercial SP
1:2
Latest results of São Caetano
Latest results of Comercial SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter de Bebedouro | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Lemense | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Penapolense | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Sao-Carlense | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | Barretos EC | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Jacarei FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 13 |
| 7 | Sao Caetano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Taquaritinga | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Tanabi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | ECUS SP | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Vocem | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Comercial | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Jabaquara | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1:8 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | AEA Aracatuba | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:13 | -10 | 4 |
| 15 | Colorado Caieiras | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Nacional SP | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0:9 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Paulista B
