Result
2:1
01/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', Vilela M. 🟥,
- 20', Erick Gabriel ↓, Jota ↑,
- 37', 0 - 1, Rai Nascimento ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Pedro M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', 🟨,
- 46', Doukoure H. ↓, Guimaraes B. ↑,
- 58', Silva J. 🟨,
- 60', Rai Nascimento ↓, Ca L. ↑,
- 72', Monteiro J. ↓, Jaramillo J. ↑,
- 72', Castro J. ↓, Campas T. ↑,
- 72', Pereira N. ↓, Serrao J. ↑,
- 72', Mauro Ribeiro ↓, Erivaldo ↑,
- 73', Duarte D. ↓, Garro L. ↑,
- 74', Jaramillo J. 🟨,
- 77', 🟨,
- 82', Barbosa D. 🟨,
- 83', Sousa B. ↓, Pacheco F. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Erivaldo ⚽,
- 90+4', 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Marco 09
45.3% | Draw
29.9% | São João de Ver
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marco 09 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marco 09's performance.São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Marco 09 - São João de Ver Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.3) |
3.07 ↑
(2.88) |
3.69 ↑
(3.15) |
9.1%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Marco 09 - São João de Ver?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Marco (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Marco is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- São João de Ver has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- São João de Ver may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Marco could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Marco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Marco 09 won against São João de Ver?
Marco 09 has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São João de Ver won against Marco 09?
São João de Ver has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marco 09 - São João de Ver were as follows:
21.12.2025
Marco 09
-
São João de Ver
2:1
24.09.2025
São João de Ver
-
Marco 09
0:0
11.02.2024
Marco 09
-
São João de Ver
0:0
08.10.2023
São João de Ver
-
Marco 09
1:0
Latest results of Marco 09
Latest results of São João de Ver
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Academica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Amarante | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Varzim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Os Belenenses | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Mafra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Santarem | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
