Result
0:0
06/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 2
- Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (412/458) | 80% (262/329) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (412/458) | 80% (262/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (25/40) | 23% (9/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (108/131) | 58% (46/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (9/39) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Ferreira 🟨,
- 37', Lyanco 🟨,
- 45+1', Zubeldia L. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cuello ↓, Bernard ↑,
- 46', Gabriel Menino ↓, Rubens ↑,
- 49', Andre Silva 🟨,
- 55', Natanael ↓, Renzo Saravia ↑,
- 65', Wendell ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
- 70', Ferreira ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
- 70', Luciano ↓, Sabino ↑,
- 71', Andre Silva ↓, Jonathan Calleri ↑,
- 78', Rony ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
- 84', Jonathan Calleri 🟥,
- 86', Alonso J. ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
- 90+1', Franco A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Cedric ↓, Ruan Tressoldi ↑,
- 90+9', Lyanco 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
47.4% | Draw
30.5% | São Paulo
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Paulo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Paulo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.25) |
3.11 ↓
(3.31) |
4.27 ↑
(3.31) |
5.7%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 7 - 50%). São Paulo will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 23.8% – 76.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 3.
- Recent matches Atlético MG is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- São Paulo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Atlético MG is a favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Caio Maia
(Inactive)
Palacios Alzate B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Pablo Maia
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 10 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25:18 (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlético MG won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:5 (average 1.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against São Paulo?
Atlético Mineiro has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Atlético Mineiro?
São Paulo has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo were as follows:
23.11.2024
São Paulo
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:2
12.09.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
São Paulo
0:0
28.08.2024
São Paulo
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:1
11.07.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
São Paulo
2:1
02.12.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
São Paulo
2:1
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
