São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A São Paulo - Atlético Mineiro
24/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


São Paulo
52.2%
Draw
27.8%
Atlético Mineiro
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 29.1% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 30.3% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • São Paulo - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.99)
    3.39
    (3.23)
    4.82
    (3.98)
    5.2%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for São Paulo - Atlético Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: São Paulo will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): São Paulo will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, São Paulo is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo 0:0
    23.11.2024 São Paulo - Atlético Mineiro 2:2
    12.09.2024 Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo 0:0
    28.08.2024 São Paulo - Atlético Mineiro 0:1
    11.07.2024 Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo 2:1
    Latest results of São Paulo
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ19134236:92743
    2Palmeiras18123324:15939
    3Cruzeiro20115432:141838
    4Bahia1896325:17833
    5Botafogo RJ1885523:111229
    6Mirassol1878329:191029
    7Sao Paulo2078524:22229
    8Fluminense1883723:24-127
    9Bragantino2083922:26-427
    10Ceara1974819:19025
    11Atletico-MG1866620:21-124
    12Internacional1966722:26-424
    13Gremio1965819:25-623
    14Corinthians2057819:25-622
    15Santos19631020:29-921
    16Vasco19541025:26-119
    17Vitoria20310718:24-619
    18Juventude19531117:38-2118
    19Fortaleza19361019:31-1215
    20Sport Recife18171012:27-1510

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet