Result
24/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
São Paulo 52.2% | Draw 27.8% | Atlético Mineiro 20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
São Paulo - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.82 ↓ (1.99) |
3.39 ↑ (3.23) |
4.82 ↑ (3.98) |
5.2% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
São Paulo will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): São Paulo will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, São Paulo is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Atlético Mineiro?
São Paulo has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against São Paulo?
Atlético Mineiro has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
06.04.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
São Paulo
0:0
23.11.2024
São Paulo
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:2
12.09.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
São Paulo
0:0
28.08.2024
São Paulo
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:1
11.07.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
São Paulo
2:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet