Result
1:1
26/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 6
- Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.54 | 0.79 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
81% (237/293) | 88% (388/441) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.54 | 0.79 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.32 | 1.38 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
19 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
81% (237/293) | 88% (388/441) |
Long passes |
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46% (16/35) | 68% (30/44) |
Passes in final third |
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63% (37/59) | 79% (123/155) |
Crosses |
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29% (4/14) | 18% (3/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.83 | 1.14 |
Throw-ins |
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17 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 19 |
Tackles |
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74% (20/27) | 67% (12/18) |
Duels won |
---|
62 | 45 |
Clearances |
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38 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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1.38 | 0.32 |
Goals prevented |
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0.38 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Pedro Henrique ⚽, Matheus Bahia (A),
- 31', Diaz E. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Ryan Francisco ⚽, Lucas Ferreira (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ferreira ↓, Soares C. ↑,
- 46', Willian Machado 🟨,
- 53', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
- 60', Ryan Francisco ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
- 60', Lucas Mugni ↓, Matheus Araujo ↑,
- 60', Pedro Henrique ↓, Guilherme Luiz ↑,
- 67', Igor Vinicius 🟨,
- 75', Igor Vinicius ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 75', Alisson ↓, Marcos Antonio ↑,
- 76', Marcos Antonio 🟨,
- 80', Matheus Bahia ↓, Nicolas ↑,
- 84', Soares C. 🟨,
- 85', Fernando Sobral ↓, Lourenco ↑,
- 85', Galeano A. ↓, Lele ↑,
- 88', Bobadilla D. 🟨,
- 90', Luciano ↓, Franco A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ceará 40.2% | Draw 33.4% | São Paulo 26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Ceará - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.37 ↓ (2.43) |
2.85 ↓ (3.19) |
3.57 ↑ (3.01) |
5.2% (5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ceará - São Paulo?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). São Paulo will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 39.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 36.2% – 76.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Ceará (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ceará will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ceará won 0.
- Recent matches Ceará is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- São Paulo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Ceará could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Ceará will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Ceará: Bruno Tubarao
(Thigh Injury)
Fabiano
(Yellow Cards)
Nicolas
(Muscle Injury)
Richardson
(Heel Injury)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
Matheus Alves
(Yellow Cards)
Oscar
(Hamstring Injury)
Pablo Maia
(Ankle Injury)
Robert Arboleda
(Inactive)
Young
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Aylon
(Injury)
Bruno Ferreira
(Injury)
Fernandinho
(Shoulder Injury)
Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
Richard
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Ceará won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:18 (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ceará won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against São Paulo?
Ceará has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Ceará?
São Paulo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - São Paulo were as follows:
18.09.2022
Ceará
-
São Paulo
0:2
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet