Cobresal vs São Paulo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores Cobresal - São Paulo
Result
1:3
08/05/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Lopez J. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
portugalPortugalSport TV2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.65
Ball Possession
33%67%
Goal Attempts
615
Shots on Goal
18
Shots off Goal
57
Free Kicks
129
Corner Kicks
23
Offsides
00
Throw-ins
912
Goalkeeper Saves
50
Fouls
913
Yellow Cards
20
Attacks
67100
Dangerous Attacks
2337

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Coelho D. , Mesias C. (A),
  • 38', 1 - 1, Luciano , Michel Araujo (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Sandoval R. , Jorquera M. ,
  • 46', Buss J. , Pacheco G. ,
  • 58', Michel Araujo , Rodrigo Nestor ,
  • 58', Ferreirinha , Erick ,
  • 58', Bobadilla D. , Giuliano Galoppo ,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Rodrigo Nestor , Giuliano Galoppo (A),
  • 72', Pacheco G. 🟨,
  • 73', Garcia F. , Lobos F. ,
  • 73', Valencia Rossel L. , Lezcano G. ,
  • 73', Coelho D. , Castro Gutierrez J. ,
  • 78', 1 - 3, Jonathan Calleri ,
  • 82', Luciano , Andre Silva ,
  • 88', Lobos F. 🟨,
  • 88', Jonathan Calleri , Rodriguinho ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cobresal
14.8%
Draw
23.4%
São Paulo
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.1% 25.2% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2% 27.7% 59%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cobresal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cobresal's form might have worsened.
  • São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Paulo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Cobresal - São Paulo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.35
    (4.45)
    4.05
    (3.71)
    1.52
    (1.74)
    6.4%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Cobresal - São Paulo?
  • Users Predictions: São Paulo will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Cobresal is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • São Paulo is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Cobresal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Cobresal have a series of home games.
    • Recently São Paulo have a series of guest games.
    • In this match São Paulo is absolute favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Cobresal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cobresal - São Paulo were as follows:
    10.04.2024 São Paulo - Cobresal 2:0
    Latest results of Cobresal
    04.05.2024 Cobresal - Colo-Colo 2:2
    29.04.2024 Audax Italiano - Cobresal 0:1
    20.04.2024 Cobresal - Ñublense 2:2
    Latest results of São Paulo
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ