Result
1:3
08/05/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Lopez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Australia | beIN Sports |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.09 | 1.65 |
Ball Possession |
---|
33% | 67% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
6 | 15 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
1 | 8 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
5 | 7 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 9 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Throw-ins |
---|
9 | 12 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 0 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 13 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Attacks |
---|
67 | 100 |
Dangerous Attacks |
---|
23 | 37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 1 - 0, Coelho D. ⚽, Mesias C. (A),
- 38', 1 - 1, Luciano ⚽, Michel Araujo (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Sandoval R. ↓, Jorquera M. ↑,
- 46', Buss J. ↓, Pacheco G. ↑,
- 58', Michel Araujo ↓, Rodrigo Nestor ↑,
- 58', Ferreirinha ↓, Erick ↑,
- 58', Bobadilla D. ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
- 60', 1 - 2, Rodrigo Nestor ⚽, Giuliano Galoppo (A),
- 72', Pacheco G. 🟨,
- 73', Garcia F. ↓, Lobos F. ↑,
- 73', Valencia Rossel L. ↓, Lezcano G. ↑,
- 73', Coelho D. ↓, Castro Gutierrez J. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 3, Jonathan Calleri ⚽,
- 82', Luciano ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
- 88', Lobos F. 🟨,
- 88', Jonathan Calleri ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
Chances of winning
Cobresal 14.8% | Draw 23.4% | São Paulo 61.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobresal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cobresal's form might have worsened.São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Paulo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Cobresal - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.35 ↑ (4.45) |
4.05 ↑ (3.71) |
1.52 ↓ (1.74) |
6.4% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cobresal - São Paulo?
Users Predictions:
São Paulo will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Cobresal is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- São Paulo is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Cobresal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Cobresal have a series of home games.
- Recently São Paulo have a series of guest games.
- In this match São Paulo is absolute favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Cobresal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Cobresal won against São Paulo?
Cobresal has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Cobresal?
São Paulo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cobresal - São Paulo were as follows:
10.04.2024
São Paulo
-
Cobresal
2:0
Latest results of Cobresal
Latest results of São Paulo
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | |
2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | |
3 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | |
4 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | |