Result
2:0
11/04/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 11
- Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (300/361) | 88% (442/501) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (300/361) | 88% (442/501) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/53) | 64% (34/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (48/68) | 86% (129/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.09 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Caca ⚽, Nathan Mendes (A),
- 37', Marcos Antonio 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Lucas Ramon 🟥,
- 57', Cauly ↓, Soares C. ↑,
- 57', Ferreira ↓, dos Santos P. ↑,
- 66', Andre Silva ↓, Tapia G. ↑,
- 66', Diaz E. ↓, Wendell ↑,
- 66', Caique Goncalves ↓, Ze Vitor ↑,
- 71', Renato Kayzer ↓, Rene ↑,
- 71', Matheuzinho ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
- 75', Tarzia D. 🟨,
- 76', dos Santos P. 🟨,
- 78', Danielzinho ↓, Lucca Marques ↑,
- 83', 2 - 0, Ramon ⚽, Baralhas (A),
- 87', Baralhas 🟨,
- 88', Baralhas ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
- 89', Toloi R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador
31% | Draw
31.1% | São Paulo
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Vitória Salvador - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(2.78) |
3.06 ↓
(3.19) |
2.51 ↓
(2.64) |
5.3%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - São Paulo?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Vitória (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
São Paulo will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitória (votes: 1 - 50%). São Paulo (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- São Paulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- São Paulo could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Vitória: Camutanga
(Broken Leg)
Claudinho
(Muscle Injury)
Dudu
(Back Injury)
Edenilson
(Red Card)
Edu
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Jamerson
(Inactive)
Lopez R.
(Thigh Injury)
Marinho
(Hamstring Injury)
Matheusinho
(Injury)
Pedro H.
(Hand Injury)
Ramon
(Yellow Cards)
Ramos R.
(Knee Injury)
Riccieli
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Jonathan Calleri
(Contusion)
Lucas Moura
(Broken rib)
Luciano
(Overload)
Paulinho
(Inactive)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Lucca Marques
(Ribs Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:27. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against São Paulo?
Vitória Salvador has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Vitória Salvador?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - São Paulo were as follows:
07.12.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
São Paulo
1:0
09.08.2025
São Paulo
-
Vitória Salvador
2:0
25.08.2024
São Paulo
-
Vitória Salvador
2:1
05.05.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
São Paulo
1:3
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:12 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 15 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 19 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:26 | -13 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
