Cobresal vs São Paulo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
08/05/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Lopez J. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
portugalPortugalSport TV2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.65
Ball Possession
33%67%
Goal Attempts
615
Shots on Goal
18
Shots off Goal
57
Free Kicks
129
Corner Kicks
23
Offsides
00
Throw-ins
912
Goalkeeper Saves
50
Fouls
913
Yellow Cards
20
Attacks
67100
Dangerous Attacks
2337

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Coelho D. , Mesias C. (A),
  • 38', 1 - 1, Luciano , Michel Araujo (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Sandoval R. , Jorquera M. ,
  • 46', Buss J. , Pacheco G. ,
  • 58', Michel Araujo , Rodrigo Nestor ,
  • 58', Ferreirinha , Erick ,
  • 58', Bobadilla D. , Giuliano Galoppo ,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Rodrigo Nestor , Giuliano Galoppo (A),
  • 72', Pacheco G. 🟨,
  • 73', Garcia F. , Lobos F. ,
  • 73', Valencia Rossel L. , Lezcano G. ,
  • 73', Coelho D. , Castro Gutierrez J. ,
  • 78', 1 - 3, Jonathan Calleri ,
  • 82', Luciano , Andre Silva ,
  • 88', Lobos F. 🟨,
  • 88', Jonathan Calleri , Rodriguinho ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cobresal
14.8%
Draw
23.4%
São Paulo
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.1% 25.2% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2% 27.7% 59%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cobresal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cobresal's form might have worsened.
  • São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Paulo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Cobresal - São Paulo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.35
    (4.45)
    4.05
    (3.71)
    1.52
    (1.74)
    6.4%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cobresal - São Paulo?
  • Users Predictions: São Paulo will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Cobresal is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • São Paulo is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Cobresal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Cobresal have a series of home games.
    • Recently São Paulo have a series of guest games.
    • In this match São Paulo is absolute favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Cobresal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cobresal - São Paulo were as follows:
    10.04.2024 São Paulo - Cobresal 2:0
    Latest results of Cobresal
    04.05.2024 Cobresal - Colo-Colo 2:2
    29.04.2024 Audax Italiano - Cobresal 0:1
    20.04.2024 Cobresal - Ñublense 2:2
    Latest results of São Paulo
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ32107:257
    2Estudiantes L.P31204:315
    3Ind. Medellin31113:5-24
    4Cusco30031:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportes Tolima31114:314
    2Nacional31116:604
    3U. de Deportes31114:404
    4Coquimbo31113:4-14


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia33007:259
    2Bolivar31113:214
    3La Guaira30212:5-32
    4Fluminense30121:4-31


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors32015:236
    2U. Catolica32015:416
    3Cruzeiro32013:216
    4Barcelona SC30031:6-50


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians33006:069
    2Platense32014:406
    3Santa Fe30122:5-31
    4Penarol30122:5-31


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal32014:226
    2Palmeiras31204:315
    3Cerro Porteno31112:204
    4Junior30121:4-31


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito32013:126
    2Lanus32012:116
    3Mirassol32013:216
    4Always Ready30030:4-40


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central32104:047
    2Ind. del Valle32106:337
    3Universidad Central31024:7-33
    4Libertad Asuncion30033:7-40

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