São Paulo vs Coritiba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A São Paulo - Coritiba
Result
2:1
27/09/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 22
  • Referee: Pereira Sampaio S. (Bra)

Highlights

Chances of winning


São Paulo
65.1%
Draw
21.5%
Coritiba
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.8% 23.8% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 23.2% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Paulo's performance.
  • Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • São Paulo - Coritiba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.56)
    4.34
    (3.9)
    7.09
    (5.67)
    6.7%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for São Paulo - Coritiba?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 17 - 85%). Coritiba will win (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 69.4%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 1.
    • São Paulo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Coritiba has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Coritiba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match São Paulo is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23-21.
    • Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Coritiba were as follows:
    20.10.2022 São Paulo - Coritiba 3:1
    Latest results of São Paulo
    24.09.2023 São Paulo - Flamengo 1:1
    20.09.2023 São Paulo - Fortaleza 1:2
    17.09.2023 Flamengo - São Paulo 0:1
    31.08.2023 São Paulo - LDU Quito 1:1
    Latest results of Coritiba
    21.09.2023 Vasco da Gama - Coritiba 5:1
    14.09.2023 Coritiba - Bahia 2:4
    27.08.2023 Fortaleza - Coritiba 3:1
    20.08.2023 Coritiba - Flamengo 2:3
    13.08.2023 Corinthians - Coritiba 3:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras25174442:212155
    2Flamengo RJ25167250:123855
    3Cruzeiro26156539:192051
    4Botafogo RJ27127837:231443
    5Mirassol261110542:281443
    6Bahia25117733:30340
    7Fluminense25115933:31238
    8Sao Paulo27108931:28338
    9Bragantino271061133:38-536
    10Vasco27961242:41133
    11Corinthians27891029:32-333
    12Gremio27891028:33-533
    13Internacional26881032:38-632
    14Ceara25871023:24-131
    15Atletico-MG25781022:29-729
    16Santos25771125:35-1028
    17Vitoria275101224:42-1825
    18Juventude25651420:46-2623
    19Fortaleza25561424:40-1621
    20Sport Recife24291318:37-1915

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet