Result
2:1
27/09/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 22
- Referee: Pereira Sampaio S. (Bra)
Chances of winning
São Paulo 65.1% | Draw 21.5% | Coritiba 13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Paulo's performance.Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
São Paulo - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.44 ↓ (1.56) |
4.34 ↑ (3.9) |
7.09 ↑ (5.67) |
6.7% (7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Coritiba?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 17 - 85%). Coritiba will win (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 69.4% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 1.
- São Paulo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Coritiba has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Coritiba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match São Paulo is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 17 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23-21.
- Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Coritiba?
São Paulo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against São Paulo?
Coritiba has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Coritiba were as follows:
20.10.2022
São Paulo
-
Coritiba
3:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 42:21 | 21 | 55 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
4 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Mirassol | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 43 |
6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
7 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 38 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 38 |
9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 36 |
10 | Vasco | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 42:41 | 1 | 33 |
11 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 33 |
12 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
13 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
14 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
15 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 29 |
16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
17 | Vitoria | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:42 | -18 | 25 |
18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet