Result
2:1
27/09/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 22
- Referee: Pereira Sampaio S. (Bra)
Chances of winning
São Paulo
65.1% | Draw
21.5% | Coritiba
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Paulo's performance.Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
São Paulo - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.56) |
4.34 ↑
(3.9) |
7.09 ↑
(5.67) |
6.7%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Coritiba?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 17 - 85%). Coritiba will win (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 69.4% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 1.
- São Paulo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Coritiba has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Coritiba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match São Paulo is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 17 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23-21.
- Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Coritiba?
São Paulo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against São Paulo?
Coritiba has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Coritiba were as follows:
20.10.2022
São Paulo
-
Coritiba
3:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34:15 | 19 | 41 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 4 | Bahia | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 27:17 | 10 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26:12 | 14 | 32 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 30:19 | 11 | 32 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 25 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 13 | Internacional | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 24 |
| 14 | Gremio | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 24 |
| 15 | Santos | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 27:29 | -2 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19:32 | -13 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
