Result
2:1
07/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 7
- Referee: Murilo V. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (481/535) | 81% (220/270) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (481/535) | 81% (220/270) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (18/28) | 62% (29/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (139/175) | 75% (44/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 2.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Luan Martins 🟨,
- 36', Afonso ↓, Renato Vischi ↑,
- 40', Luan Martins ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
- 44', Renato Vischi 🟨,
- 45+4', Matheus Doria 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Kevin ↓, Lucas Douglas ↑,
- 46', Matheus Doria ↓, Luciano ↑,
- 55', 0 - 1, Gabriel Poveda ⚽, Thales Oleques (A),
- 56', Bobadilla D. ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
- 56', Tapia G. ↓, Jonathan Calleri ↑,
- 63', Welliton ↓, Josiel ↑,
- 63', Paulo Baya ↓, Luiz Fernando ↑,
- 70', Ferreira ↓, Lucca Marques ↑,
- 70', Soares C. ↓, Lucas Ramon ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Lucas Moura ⚽, Danielzinho (A),
- 78', Renato Vischi 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 1, Jonathan Calleri (Penalty Awarded),
- 82', Matheus Anjos ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 85', Ferraresi N. 🟨,
- 90+3', Lucas Moura ↓, Pedro Ferreira ↑,
- 90+5', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
Chances of winning
São Paulo
64.8% | Draw
21.9% | EC Primavera
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)EC Primavera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Primavera than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
São Paulo - EC Primavera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.5) |
4.26 ↑
(3.85) |
6.95 ↑
(6.42) |
7.4%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for São Paulo - EC Primavera?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Primavera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, São Paulo is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva
(Knee Injury)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Primavera: Yuri Lima
(Inactive)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against EC Primavera?
São Paulo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has EC Primavera won against São Paulo?
EC Primavera has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - EC Primavera were as follows:
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of EC Primavera
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
