São Paulo vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A São Paulo - Fortaleza
Result
0:0
02/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 7
  • Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.89
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
513
Passes
89% (357/403)81% (264/326)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.140.01
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
49
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
513
Touches in opposition box
1819
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1915
Passes
89% (357/403)81% (264/326)
Long passes
69% (31/45)35% (16/46)
Passes in final third
80% (70/88)66% (68/103)
Crosses
21% (5/24)15% (4/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.87
Throw-ins
189
Fouls
1519
Tackles
30% (3/10)74% (14/19)
Duels won
4745
Clearances
2826
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.011.14
Goals prevented
0.011.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Lucas Ferreira 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Joao Ricardo 🟨,
  • 64', Ferreira (Pen),
  • 65', Ferreira , Lucas Moura ,
  • 65', Matheus Alves , Luciano ,
  • 69', Breno Lopes , Marinho ,
  • 74', Gustavo Mancha 🟨,
  • 80', Lucero J. , Deyverson ,
  • 81', Gustavo Mancha , David Luiz ,
  • 81', Matheus Rossetto , Pochettino T. ,
  • 84', Lucas Ferreira , Ryan Francisco ,

Chances of winning


São Paulo
51.6%
Draw
29.5%
Fortaleza
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 27.4% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 27.5% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • São Paulo - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.9)
    3.24
    (3.45)
    5.03
    (4.1)
    5.2%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for São Paulo - Fortaleza?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 50.9%95.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 0.
    • São Paulo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fortaleza is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, São Paulo is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in São Paulo: Diaz E. (Yellow Cards) Jonathan Calleri (Knee Injury) Lucas Moura (Knee Injury) Luiz Gustavo (Contusion) Marcos Antonio (Yellow Cards) Oscar (Hamstring Injury) Pablo Maia (Ankle Injury) Robert Arboleda (Inactive) Young (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Britez E. (Ankle Injury) Moises (Injury) Titi (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in São Paulo: Franco A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: Bruninho (Injury) Rodrigo (Inactive)
    • We predict that São Paulo will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Fortaleza were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Fortaleza - São Paulo 1:0
    13.04.2024 São Paulo - Fortaleza 1:2
    20.09.2023 São Paulo - Fortaleza 1:2
    11.05.2023 Fortaleza - São Paulo 0:0
    28.08.2022 São Paulo - Fortaleza 0:1
    Latest results of São Paulo
    26.04.2025 Ceará - São Paulo 1:1
    20.04.2025 São Paulo - Santos 2:1
    16.04.2025 Botafogo RJ - São Paulo 2:2
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ19134236:92743
    2Palmeiras18123324:15939
    3Cruzeiro20115432:141838
    4Bahia1896325:17833
    5Botafogo RJ1885523:111229
    6Mirassol1878329:191029
    7Sao Paulo2078524:22229
    8Fluminense1883723:24-127
    9Bragantino2083922:26-427
    10Ceara1974819:19025
    11Atletico-MG1866620:21-124
    12Internacional1966722:26-424
    13Gremio1965819:25-623
    14Corinthians2057819:25-622
    15Santos19631020:29-921
    16Vasco19541025:26-119
    17Vitoria20310718:24-619
    18Juventude19531117:38-2118
    19Fortaleza19361019:31-1215
    20Sport Recife18171012:27-1510

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet