Result
2:2
16/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 14
- Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (396/461) | 88% (458/520) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (396/461) | 88% (458/520) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (33/47) | 67% (51/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (71/92) | 84% (114/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 16% (4/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | -1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Andre Silva ⚽, Luciano (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Rodriguez G. ⚽, Guilherme (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 2 - 1, Hurtado A. ⚽,
- 57', Guilherme 🟨,
- 62', Fabinho ↓, Eric Ramires ↑,
- 62', Jhon Jhon ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
- 63', Eduardo Sasha 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 2, Andre Silva ⚽, Luciano (A),
- 66', Andre Silva ↓, Dinenno J. ↑,
- 71', Marcos Antonio ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 71', Oscar ↓, Ferreira ↑,
- 72', Mosquera H. ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
- 80', Guilherme ↓, Sant'Anna A. ↑,
- 80', Hurtado A. ↓, Nathan Mendes ↑,
- 82', Gabriel 🟨,
- 84', Franco A. ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 84', Luciano ↓, Sabino ↑,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Bragantino
41.1% | Draw
31% | São Paulo
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.24) |
3.08 ↓
(3.26) |
3.39 ↑
(3.26) |
5.7%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). São Paulo will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 45.7% – 84.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 5 - 71.4%). São Paulo (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 1.
- RB Bragantino is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- São Paulo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- São Paulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- RB Bragantino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Borbas T.
(Yellow Cards)
Fabricio
(Thigh Injury)
Fernando
(Calf Injury)
Pitta I.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
Pablo Maia
(Injury)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Lucas Ferreira
(Hip Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that RB Bragantino will win today's game, with odds of 2.21.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against São Paulo?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Red Bull Bragantino?
São Paulo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo were as follows:
08.02.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
São Paulo
1:0
20.11.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
São Paulo
1:1
06.07.2024
São Paulo
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:0
17.02.2024
São Paulo
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:2
08.11.2023
São Paulo
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:0
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
