Result
1:2
15/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (258/318) | 81% (267/331) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (258/318) | 81% (267/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (35/62) | 36% (15/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (83/117) | 65% (60/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 72 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', Jonathan Calleri 🟨,
- 31', Gabriel 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Herrera J. ⚽,
- 40', Herrera J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 1, Sabino ⚽, Danielzinho (A),
- 59', Gustavo Neves ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 59', Gabriel ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
- 63', Bobadilla D. 🟨,
- 66', Luciano 🟨,
- 68', Danielzinho ↓, Pablo Maia ↑,
- 68', Lucas Moura ↓, Cauly ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Jonathan Calleri ⚽, Lucas Ramon (A),
- 73', Herrera J. ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
- 82', Juninho Capixaba 🟨,
- 83', Hurtado A. ↓, Tavares R. ↑,
- 83', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
- 83', Jonathan Calleri ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
- 84', Luciano ↓, Ferreira ↑,
- 89', Diaz E. 🟨,
- 90+2', Bobadilla D. ↓, Robert Arboleda ↑,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Bragantino
38.7% | Draw
30.7% | São Paulo
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+1%)
Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↓
(2.49) |
3.06 ↑
(3.02) |
3.05 ↑
(2.87) |
6%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 2.
- RB Bragantino has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- São Paulo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- RB Bragantino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, São Paulo has had a series of away games.
- RB Bragantino might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Fabricio
(Inactive)
Rodriguez G.
(Knee Injury)
Sant'Anna A.
(Inactive)
Vanderlan
(Inactive)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Lucca Marques
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against São Paulo?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Red Bull Bragantino?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo were as follows:
21.02.2026
Red Bull Bragantino
-
São Paulo
1:2
08.11.2025
São Paulo
-
Red Bull Bragantino
0:1
16.07.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
São Paulo
2:2
08.02.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
São Paulo
1:0
20.11.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
São Paulo
1:1
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | Bahia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Gremio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Vasco | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Internacional | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Bragantino | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Chapecoense-SC | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Santos | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Remo | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
