Red Bull Bragantino vs São Paulo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo
Result
2:2
16/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 14
  • Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.33
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
86% (396/461)88% (458/520)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.761.94
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
94
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2526
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1811
Passes
86% (396/461)88% (458/520)
Long passes
70% (33/47)67% (51/76)
Passes in final third
77% (71/92)84% (114/136)
Crosses
25% (7/28)16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.931.62
Throw-ins
2425
Fouls
1118
Tackles
70% (7/10)65% (13/20)
Duels won
5043
Clearances
2533
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.940.76
Goals prevented
-0.06-1.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Andre Silva , Luciano (A),
  • 43', 1 - 1, Rodriguez G. , Guilherme (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 1, Hurtado A. ,
  • 57', Guilherme 🟨,
  • 62', Fabinho , Eric Ramires ,
  • 62', Jhon Jhon , Gustavo Neves ,
  • 63', Eduardo Sasha 🟨,
  • 64', 2 - 2, Andre Silva , Luciano (A),
  • 66', Andre Silva , Dinenno J. ,
  • 71', Marcos Antonio , Alisson ,
  • 71', Oscar , Ferreira ,
  • 72', Mosquera H. , Vinicinho ,
  • 80', Guilherme , Sant'Anna A. ,
  • 80', Hurtado A. , Nathan Mendes ,
  • 82', Gabriel 🟨,
  • 84', Franco A. , Rodriguinho ,
  • 84', Luciano , Sabino ,

Chances of winning


Red Bull Bragantino
41.1%
Draw
31%
São Paulo
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 28.9% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 28.6% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.24)
    3.08
    (3.26)
    3.39
    (3.26)
    5.7%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). São Paulo will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 45.7%84.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 5 - 71.4%). São Paulo (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 1.
    • RB Bragantino is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • São Paulo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • São Paulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • RB Bragantino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in RB Bragantino: Borbas T. (Yellow Cards) Fabricio (Thigh Injury) Fernando (Calf Injury) Pitta I. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in São Paulo: Jonathan Calleri (Knee Injury) Luiz Gustavo (Contusion) Pablo Maia (Injury)
    • There are questionable in São Paulo: Lucas Ferreira (Hip Injury) Lucas Moura (Knee Injury)
    • We predict that RB Bragantino will win today's game, with odds of 2.21.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo 1:0
    20.11.2024 Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo 1:1
    06.07.2024 São Paulo - Red Bull Bragantino 2:0
    17.02.2024 São Paulo - Red Bull Bragantino 2:2
    08.11.2023 São Paulo - Red Bull Bragantino 1:0
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Latest results of São Paulo
    12.07.2025 Flamengo - São Paulo 2:0
    12.06.2025 São Paulo - Vasco da Gama 1:3
    31.05.2025 Bahia - São Paulo 2:1
    24.05.2025 São Paulo - Mirassol 0:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1685320:13729
    5Mirassol1677227:161128
    6Bragantino1783620:20027
    7Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    8Fluminense1672718:20-223
    9Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    10Ceara1663716:16021
    11Internacional1656517:20-321
    12Corinthians1756616:20-421
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1755716:23-720
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1643918:23-515
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1606109:25-166

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet