Result
0:1
08/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Flow Eventos |
 Armenia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports 1 Caribbean |
 Paraguay | Flow Eventos |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | Flow |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (434/516) | 79% (216/272) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (434/516) | 79% (216/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (33/55) | 46% (19/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (95/134) | 70% (48/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lucas Moura ↓, Tapia G. ↑,
- 64', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 65', Maik ↓, Mailton ↑,
- 73', Diaz E. 🟨,
- 74', 0 - 1, Jhon Jhon (Pen),
- 78', Franco A. ↓, Rigoni E. ↑,
- 79', Pitta I. ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
- 79', Sant'Anna A. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
- 79', Gustavo Neves ↓, Gustavo Marques ↑,
- 87', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Guilherme ↑,
- 88', Jhon Jhon ↓, Praxedes ↑,
- 90+7', Vanderlan 🟨,
Chances of winning
São Paulo
55.8% | Draw
26.5% | Red Bull Bragantino
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
São Paulo - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.67) |
3.6 ↑
(3.5) |
5.3 ↓
(5.5) |
5.4%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Red Bull Bragantino?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
São Paulo will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 1.
- Recent performances by São Paulo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- RB Bragantino is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, São Paulo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva
(Knee Injury)
Dinenno J.
(Inactive)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Luan Silva
(Muscle Injury)
Oscar
(Calf Injury)
Rodriguinho
(Inactive)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
Wendell
(Injury)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Bruninho
(Inactive)
Eduardo Santos
(Ankle Injury)
Eduardo Sasha
(Yellow Cards)
Eric Ramires
(Injury)
Juninho Capixaba
(Yellow Cards)
Rodriguez G.
(Knee Injury)
Vinicinho
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Mosquera H.
(Injury)
Pedro Henrique
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Red Bull Bragantino?
São Paulo has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against São Paulo?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
16.07.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
São Paulo
2:2
08.02.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
São Paulo
1:0
20.11.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
São Paulo
1:1
06.07.2024
São Paulo
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:0
17.02.2024
São Paulo
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:2
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 78:27 | 51 | 79 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 76 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro ✔ | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 55:31 | 24 | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol ✔ | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 63:39 | 24 | 67 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 50:39 | 11 | 64 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 63 |
| 7 | Bahia | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 50:46 | 4 | 60 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo ✔ | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:47 | -4 | 51 |
| 9 | Gremio | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | Bragantino ✔ | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 43:44 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Santos | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 45:50 | -5 | 47 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 42:47 | -5 | 47 |
| 14 | Vasco | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 55:60 | -5 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 45 |
| 16 | Internacional | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 44 |
| 17 | Ceara | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 34:40 | -6 | 43 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:58 | -15 | 43 |
| 19 | Juventude ✔ | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 35:69 | -34 | 35 |
| 20 | Sport Recife ✔ | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 28:75 | -47 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Flamengo RJ is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Cruzeiro is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Mirassol is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
Bragantino is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
Juventude is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
Sport Recife is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
